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Michael Lorenzen

Kansas City Royals

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St. Louis Cardinals

07:45 PM

Jun 3, 2025

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Kansas City Royals

  • Projections
  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -130

Strikeouts 3.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Throwing 92.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Michael Lorenzen places him the 79th percentile.

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nestor Ceja) behind the plate today.

Because groundball batters face a disadvantage against groundball pitchers, Michael Lorenzen (34.7% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 GB hitters in the opposition's projected offense.

Michael Lorenzen was in good form in his last game started and put up 7 strikeouts.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Michael Lorenzen has utilized his off-speed and breaking pitches 8.6% more often this season (60.3%) than he did last season (51.7%).

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 7th-worst park in baseball for strikeouts.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup.

Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 3.7 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -150

Earned Runs 2.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 8th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nestor Ceja) behind the plate today.

Busch Stadium ranks as the #28 park in the league for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest right field fences in Major League Baseball.

Michael Lorenzen is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.7% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #28 HR venue in the majors today.

Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -125

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Throwing 92.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Michael Lorenzen places him the 79th percentile.

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 8th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nestor Ceja) behind the plate today.

Busch Stadium ranks as the #28 park in the league for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest right field fences in Major League Baseball.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup.

Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 16.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Michael Lorenzen Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-136)
un 5.5 (-101)
ov 5.5 (-135)
un 5.5 (-105)
-
ov 5.5 (-140)
un 5.5 (-105)
ov 5.5 (-140)
un 5.5 (110)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-152)
un 2.5 (113)
ov 2.5 (-150)
un 2.5 (110)
-
ov 2.5 (-155)
un 2.5 (110)
ov 2.5 (-150)
un 2.5 (120)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 15.5 (-126)
un 15.5 (-107)
ov 15.5 (-125)
un 15.5 (-110)
ov 16.5 (-106)
un 16.5 (-122)
ov 15.5 (-125)
un 15.5 (-110)
ov 15.5 (-135)
un 15.5 (105)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 3.5 (-124)
un 3.5 (-105)
ov 3.5 (-130)
un 3.5 (100)
ov 3.5 (-118)
un 3.5 (-108)
ov 3.5 (-115)
un 3.5 (-110)
ov 3.5 (-125)
un 3.5 (-105)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-165)
un 1.5 (122)
ov 1.5 (-170)
un 1.5 (120)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-160)
un 1.5 (125)

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