Michael Lorenzen Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -115

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Michael Lorenzen has averaged 93.7 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 30%.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

Considering that flyball pitchers have a notable edge over flyball hitters, Michael Lorenzen and his 34.6% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable position in this outing facing 2 opposing FB hitters.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Michael Lorenzen will hold that advantage in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Michael Lorenzen in the 24th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-worst park in baseball for strikeouts.

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.

With a 0.5 deviation between Michael Lorenzen's 7.75 K/9 and his 7.25 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to see negative regression in future games.

Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 4.5 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -130

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Michael Lorenzen has averaged 93.7 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field fences among all stadiums.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 30%.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

Michael Lorenzen is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.6% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #30 HR venue among all major league parks in this matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The #1 stadium in baseball for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.

With a 1.06 disparity between Michael Lorenzen's 4.23 ERA and his 5.29 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to negatively regress the rest of the season.

Michael Lorenzen has recorded a 5.29 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the things a pitcher has the most control over) this year, ranking in the 15th percentile.

Boston Red Sox batters collectively place 2nd- in the league for power this year when judging by their 11.4% Barrel%.

Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 16.4 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -130

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The #1 stadium in baseball for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.

With a 1.06 disparity between Michael Lorenzen's 4.23 ERA and his 5.29 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to negatively regress the rest of the season.

Michael Lorenzen has recorded a 5.29 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the things a pitcher has the most control over) this year, ranking in the 15th percentile.

Boston Red Sox batters collectively place 2nd- in the league for power this year when judging by their 11.4% Barrel%.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field fences among all stadiums.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 30%.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

Michael Lorenzen is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.6% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #30 HR venue among all major league parks in this matchup.

Considering that flyball pitchers have a notable edge over flyball hitters, Michael Lorenzen and his 34.6% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable position in this outing facing 2 opposing FB hitters.

Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in today's game.