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Michael Lorenzen

Kansas City Royals

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Kansas City Royals

07:40 PM

Apr 7, 2025

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Minnesota Twins

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -105

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Nic Lentz projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.

The #1 stadium in the game for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of the day at 51°.

Michael Lorenzen has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA since the start of last season; his 3.38 figure is a good deal lower than his 4.92 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be wise to expect worse results for the Minnesota Twins offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in the league since the start of last season.

Among all parks, Kauffman Stadium's RF dimensions are the deepest.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

Michael Lorenzen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters in today's game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Michael Lorenzen will hold that advantage today.

Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 107

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -143

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

Michael Lorenzen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters in today's game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Michael Lorenzen will hold that advantage today.

In his last outing, Michael Lorenzen was rolling and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

Michael Lorenzen has used his cut-fastball 6.3% more often this season (16.5%) than he did last season (10.2%).

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Michael Lorenzen in the 25th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

Nic Lentz projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #29 venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of the day at 51°.

Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 4.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -132

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

It may be wise to expect worse results for the Minnesota Twins offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in the league since the start of last season.

Among all parks, Kauffman Stadium's RF dimensions are the deepest.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

Michael Lorenzen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters in today's game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Michael Lorenzen will hold that advantage today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Nic Lentz projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.

The #1 stadium in the game for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of the day at 51°.

Michael Lorenzen has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA since the start of last season; his 3.38 figure is a good deal lower than his 4.92 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 16.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Michael Lorenzen Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (116)
un 5.5 (-161)
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-165)
-
ov 5.5 (105)
un 5.5 (-150)
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-166)
-
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (101)
un 2.5 (-136)
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-140)
-
ov 2.5 (-105)
un 2.5 (-135)
-
-
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-118)
un 17.5 (-114)
ov 17.5 (-110)
un 17.5 (-120)
ov 17.5 (-122)
un 17.5 (-108)
ov 17.5 (-125)
un 17.5 (-110)
-
-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (103)
un 4.5 (-137)
ov 4.5 (105)
un 4.5 (-140)
ov 4.5 (-102)
un 4.5 (-126)
ov 4.5 (100)
un 4.5 (-135)
ov 4.5 (104)
un 4.5 (-142)
ov 4.5 (100)
un 4.5 (-130)
Walks Allowed
ov 2.5 (130)
un 2.5 (-185)
ov 2.5 (130)
un 2.5 (-185)
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-
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