Luis Severino Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -150

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Tallying 97.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Luis Severino falls in the 97th percentile.

The Detroit Tigers have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward

In MLB, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.

In his previous start, Luis Severino turned in a great performance and gave up 0 ER.

Luis Severino's cutter percentage has increased by 9.8% from last year to this one (8% to 17.8%) .

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The #9 venue in baseball for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.

On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Luis Severino (43.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 GB hitters in Detroit's projected batting order.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Severino in today's matchup.

Luis Severino is projected to have 16.9 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -130

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The #9 venue in baseball for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.

On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Luis Severino (43.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 GB hitters in Detroit's projected batting order.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Severino in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Detroit Tigers have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward

In MLB, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.

In his previous start, Luis Severino turned in a great performance and gave up 0 ER.

Luis Severino's cutter percentage has increased by 9.8% from last year to this one (8% to 17.8%) .

With a 0.55 difference between Luis Severino's 4.42 ERA and his 3.87 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in MLB this year and ought to see better results in future games.

Luis Severino is projected to have 3.2 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -105

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Tallying 97.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Luis Severino falls in the 97th percentile.

The Detroit Tigers have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Dillon Dingler, Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson).

Luis Severino's cutter percentage has increased by 9.8% from last year to this one (8% to 17.8%) .

Luis Severino has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 6.21 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.09 — a 0.88 K/9 discrepancy.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Luis Severino in the 21st percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Luis Severino (43.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 GB hitters in Detroit's projected batting order.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Severino in today's matchup.

Luis Severino is projected to have 4.3 Strikeouts in today's game.