Kevin Gausman Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -130

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The 4th-best projected batting order of the day in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Houston Astros.

The Houston Astros have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (James Hoye) calling pitches today.

Minute Maid Park projects as the #10 venue in the majors for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Projected catcher Alejandro Kirk profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The league's 3rd-tallest fences can be found at Minute Maid Park.

The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams today.

Kevin Gausman performed well in his previous game started and gave up 2 ER.

Placing in the 75th percentile, Kevin Gausman has recorded a 3.67 K/BB rate since the start of last season.

Kevin Gausman is projected to have 3.2 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -172

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 132

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Kevin Gausman has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, tallying 8.9 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than average.

Projected catcher Alejandro Kirk profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Minute Maid Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

Kevin Gausman has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting a 7.94 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.54 — a 0.6 K/9 discrepancy.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (James Hoye) calling pitches today.

The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

Considering that flyball batters have a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Kevin Gausman and his 36.8% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard spot today going up against 2 opposing GB bats.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kevin Gausman in today's matchup.

Kevin Gausman's high utilization percentage of his fastball (58% since the start of last season) is likely harming his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Kevin Gausman is projected to have 5.1 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 125

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -170

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Kevin Gausman has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, tallying 8.9 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than average.

Projected catcher Alejandro Kirk profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The league's 3rd-tallest fences can be found at Minute Maid Park.

The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams today.

Kevin Gausman performed well in his previous game started and gave up 2 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The 4th-best projected batting order of the day in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Houston Astros.

The Houston Astros have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (James Hoye) calling pitches today.

Minute Maid Park projects as the #10 venue in the majors for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions in the league.

Kevin Gausman is projected to have 17.4 Pitching Outs in today's game.