Clay Holmes Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -167

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Miami Marlins have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Matt Mervis, Griffin Conine, Dane Myers).

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 11.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.

Considering that flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Clay Holmes (59.1% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today's game with 3 FB hitters in the opposition's projected lineup.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-worst park in baseball for strikeouts.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 81°.

Clay Holmes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Given the 1.31 discrepancy between Clay Holmes's 9.57 K/9 and his 8.26 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and should perform worse the rest of the season.

Clay Holmes is projected to have 5.1 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -150

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The #4 field in the league for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 81°.

The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today.

Clay Holmes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Clay Holmes's overall pitching ability grades out in the 91st percentile out of all starters in the league currently.

The Miami Marlins projected offense ranks as the weakest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.

The Miami Marlins have been the 8th-luckiest offense in the game since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games

The 4th-deepest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park.

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.

Clay Holmes is projected to have 2.2 Earned Runs in today's game.