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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -115

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Citi Field profiles as the #4 field in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Clay Holmes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Clay Holmes has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 9.57 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.59 — a 0.98 K/9 discrepancy.

Clay Holmes is projected to have 5.1 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -180

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The 2nd-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Chicago Cubs.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums.

Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Chicago Cubs bats collectively place 8th- in baseball for power this year when using their 10% Barrel%.

Chicago has been the #1 team in the league when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle band that tends to result the most in base hits (46.2% rate this year).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Clay Holmes in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

The Chicago Cubs have been the 4th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 2nd-worst stadium in MLB for batting average.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Clay Holmes is projected to have 2 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -120

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Clay Holmes in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

The Chicago Cubs have been the 4th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 2nd-worst stadium in MLB for batting average.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 59°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The 2nd-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Chicago Cubs.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums.

Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Chicago Cubs bats collectively place 8th- in baseball for power this year when using their 10% Barrel%.

Chicago has been the #1 team in the league when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle band that tends to result the most in base hits (46.2% rate this year).

Clay Holmes is projected to have 16 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Clay Holmes Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-103)
un 4.5 (-136)
ov 4.5 (-105)
un 4.5 (-135)
-
ov 4.5 (-105)
un 4.5 (-140)
ov 4.5 (-103)
un 4.5 (-133)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-154)
un 1.5 (113)
ov 1.5 (-160)
un 1.5 (120)
-
ov 1.5 (-160)
un 1.5 (115)
ov 1.5 (-160)
un 1.5 (116)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (-135)
un 4.5 (103)
ov 4.5 (-135)
un 4.5 (105)
ov 4.5 (-140)
un 4.5 (110)
ov 4.5 (-120)
un 4.5 (-105)
ov 4.5 (-137)
un 4.5 (100)
Walks Allowed
ov 2.5 (139)
un 2.5 (-195)
ov 2.5 (140)
un 2.5 (-195)
-
-
ov 2.5 (139)
un 2.5 (-194)

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