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Chris Sale

Atlanta Braves

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Pittsburgh Pirates

01:35 PM

May 11, 2025

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Atlanta Braves

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -150

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best venue in the game for batting average.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.

Given his huge platoon split, Chris Sale has a tough challenge facing 9 hitters in the projected batting order who bat from the other side in today's outing.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Chris Sale (33.9% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Pittsburgh's projected lineup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Chris Sale as the 11th-best starting pitcher in the game currently.

The Pittsburgh Pirates projected offense ranks as the 5th-worst on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.

Among all parks, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.

Chris Sale is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #26 HR venue in the league in this game.

Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Chris Sale is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 7.5 over: -120

Strikeouts 7.5 under: -106

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Chris Sale projects as the 5th-best pitcher in Major League Baseball right now as it relates to his strikeout skill, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Sale to throw 99 pitches in today's matchup (most of all pitchers on the slate today), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Alexander Canario, Matt Gorski, Joey Bart).

In his last start, Chris Sale was rolling and posted 7 strikeouts.

Chris Sale's slider utilization has increased by 6.9% from last season to this one (40.3% to 47.2%) .

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-worst field in the game for strikeouts.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.

Given his huge platoon split, Chris Sale has a tough challenge facing 9 hitters in the projected batting order who bat from the other side in today's outing.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Chris Sale (33.9% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Pittsburgh's projected lineup.

Chris Sale will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Chris Sale is projected to have 7.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 132

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -172

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Chris Sale as the 11th-best starting pitcher in the game currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Sale to throw 99 pitches in today's matchup (most of all pitchers on the slate today), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Pittsburgh Pirates projected offense ranks as the 5th-worst on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.

Among all parks, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.

Chris Sale is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #26 HR venue in the league in this game.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-best venue in the game for batting average.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.

Given his huge platoon split, Chris Sale has a tough challenge facing 9 hitters in the projected batting order who bat from the other side in today's outing.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Chris Sale (33.9% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Pittsburgh's projected lineup.

Chris Sale is projected to have 17.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Chris Sale Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-144)
un 4.5 (105)
ov 4.5 (-145)
un 4.5 (105)
-
ov 4.5 (-145)
un 4.5 (105)
ov 4.5 (-137)
un 4.5 (100)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-153)
un 1.5 (111)
ov 1.5 (-150)
un 1.5 (110)
-
ov 1.5 (-155)
un 1.5 (110)
ov 1.5 (-154)
un 1.5 (112)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 18.5 (139)
un 18.5 (-192)
ov 18.5 (145)
un 18.5 (-195)
ov 18.5 (130)
un 18.5 (-174)
ov 18.5 (140)
un 18.5 (-200)
ov 18.5 (133)
un 18.5 (-184)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 7.5 (-128)
un 7.5 (-105)
ov 7.5 (-130)
un 7.5 (-105)
ov 7.5 (-118)
un 7.5 (-108)
ov 7.5 (-130)
un 7.5 (100)
ov 7.5 (-133)
un 7.5 (-103)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-117)
un 1.5 (-120)
ov 1.5 (-125)
un 1.5 (-115)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-109)
un 1.5 (-125)

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