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Antonio Senzatela

Colorado Rockies

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Colorado Rockies

08:40 PM

Jun 6, 2025

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New York Mets

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 3.5 over: -130

Earned Runs 3.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Antonio Senzatela in the 11th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in MLB for batting average.

Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.

Antonio Senzatela's 2218-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 23rd percentile among all starting pitchers.

Antonio Senzatela's high usage rate of his fastball (57.2% this year) is likely dampening his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching on the slate today.

Antonio Senzatela is an extreme groundball pitcher (47.3% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #7 HR venue among all parks — in this game.

Because groundball pitchers have a notable advantage over groundball bats, Antonio Senzatela and his 47.3% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable position in this outing matching up with 4 opposing GB bats.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Antonio Senzatela will hold that advantage in today's game.

Antonio Senzatela was in good form in his previous outing and allowed 0 ER.

Antonio Senzatela is projected to have 3.4 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 2.5 over: -147

Strikeouts 2.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching on the slate today.

Because groundball pitchers have a notable advantage over groundball bats, Antonio Senzatela and his 47.3% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable position in this outing matching up with 4 opposing GB bats.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Antonio Senzatela will hold that advantage in today's game.

With a 0.94 gap between Antonio Senzatela's 4.81 K/9 and his 5.75 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to positively regress in the future.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Antonio Senzatela in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the worst field in the majors for strikeouts.

Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.

In his last game started, Antonio Senzatela struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 0 Ks.

Antonio Senzatela's 2218-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 23rd percentile among all starting pitchers.

Antonio Senzatela is projected to have 2.8 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Antonio Senzatela Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 6.5 (-137)
un 6.5 (102)
ov 6.5 (-140)
un 6.5 (100)
-
ov 6.5 (-135)
un 6.5 (105)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 3.5 (-118)
un 3.5 (-114)
ov 3.5 (-115)
un 3.5 (-120)
-
ov 3.5 (-120)
un 3.5 (-110)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 2.5 (-141)
un 2.5 (108)
ov 2.5 (-145)
un 2.5 (110)
ov 2.5 (-134)
un 2.5 (104)
ov 2.5 (-140)
un 2.5 (110)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-138)
un 1.5 (102)
ov 1.5 (-140)
un 1.5 (100)
-
ov 1.5 (-135)
un 1.5 (105)

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