Aaron Ashby Prop projections for Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies on Jun 5, 2024
Aaron Ashby Player Prop: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -120
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
It is expected that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Blakney) calling pitches in today's game.
The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.
Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
Aaron Ashby has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 6 opposite-handed hitters in this game.
Considering that flyball pitchers have a notable edge over flyball bats, Aaron Ashby and his 52.5% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good spot in today's game facing 2 opposing FB bats.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Aaron Ashby to throw 84 pitches today (5th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 83°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Aaron Ashby will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
Aaron Ashby wasn't on when it came to striking hitters out in his last start and notched 2 Ks.
Aaron Ashby Strikeouts Prop Projection
Aaron Ashby is projected to have 4.4 Strikeouts in todays game.
Aaron Ashby Player Prop: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -132
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
In the league, Citizens Bank Park's left field fences are the 10th-shallowest.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 83°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Aaron Ashby will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
Philadelphia's 89.5-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season ranks among the best in the majors: #4 overall.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop
It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the Philadelphia Phillies offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
It is expected that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Blakney) calling pitches in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 4th-worst field in Major League Baseball for walks.
Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
Aaron Ashby has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 6 opposite-handed hitters in this game.
Aaron Ashby Earned Runs Prop Projection
Aaron Ashby is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in todays game.
