Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants Pick – 7/7/2025

The Philadelphia Phillies hit the road to face the San Francisco Giants on Monday, July 7, at Oracle Park. Both teams come into this game on two-game winning streaks and have enjoyed strong pitching performances recently. Which team will win this game with superior pitching? Here’s an in‑depth preview of this matchup, including my Phillies vs Giants prediction.

Our Phillies vs Giants Pick

  • Pick: Phillies moneyline
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants
  • Date & Time: Monday, July 7, 2025, 9:45 p.m. ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) vs Landen Roupp (SF)
  • Stadium: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
  • Broadcast: MLB Network, NBCS‑BA, NBCS‑PH

Key Storylines

Pitching form

Cristopher Sánchez will get the start for the Phillies. He has been excellent this season, with an ERA of 2.68 and a 7-2 record on the year. Against the Giants, gave up two earned runs in seven innings back in April in a 6-4 win for the Phillies. Landen Roupp is 6-5 with a 3.48 ERA this season. He’s given up two earned runs combined over his last three starts. But walks can be an issue for Roupp, as he’s allowed 38 of them on the year.

Bullpen usage

There is not a better bullpen in baseball this year than that of the San Francisco Giants. The Giants have the top bullpen ERA in MLB, while the Phillies are 23rd in bullpen ERA. That puts extra pressure on Sanchez to perform here, though he’s proven capable of thriving under pressure in his career.

Recent team streaks

Philadelphia has won three of their last five, including two out of three in their last series against the Cincinnati Reds. The Giants also won two out of three in their last series, getting the better of the Athletics in Sacramento. They have won four of their last five games overall.

  • Season Series: The season series between these teams is tied 2-2. They split a four-game series in Philadelphia back in April.
  • Home/Road Splits: Phillies are 23-21 on the road, the Giants are 25-17 at home.
  • Runline Trends: The Phillies are 48-42 (53.3%) on the runline this year, while the Giants are 40-50 (44.4%).

Phillies vs Giants Model Projection

Score Projection: Phillies 5 – Giants 3

Win Probability: Phillies 60 %, Giants 40 %

Final Thoughts

While I’m concerned with the bullpen matchup for the Phillies in this game, I am still confident that they will get the win in this series-opening game. Sanchez has been elite on the mound for Philly this season, and I think he will outperform Roupp to set his bullpen up in a position to succeed. Expect the Phillies to win a close game here as they look to increase their lead over the New York Mets in the NL East standings.


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Home MLB Picks Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants Pick – 7/7/2025