Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction – 7/25/2025
The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Yankees will meet in interleague play on Friday night at Yankee Stadium. These teams are both in second place in their respective divisions and are in Wild Card positions going into this series. They will look for a huge win to set the tone in a significant three-game set here. Continue reading to get my breakdown of this game, which includes my Phillies vs Yankees prediction from New York.
Our Phillies vs Yankees Pick
- Pick: Phillies moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Yankees
- Date & Time: Friday, July 25, 2025, 7:05 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Phillies – Taijuan Walker (3‑5, 3.75 ERA)
- Yankees – Will Warren (6‑5, 4.91 ERA)
- Stadium: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: Apple TV+
Key Storylines
Pitching Form
Taijuan Walker has posted a 3.75 ERA and 1.38 WHIP this season. He hasn’t been as reliable as the Phillies may have liked from an innings pitched standpoint this year. But when he does pitch he typically performs well for the Phillies. Will Warren has a lofty 4.91 ERA but he does have a winning record going into this start. He will look for another win here but will need to navigate the tough Phillies lineup to get it.
Bullpen Usage
Both of these bullpens are right near the bottom 10 in the league in bullpen ERA this year. The offenses on both sides tend to mask some of the legitimate problems that these rosters possess. But the bullpens are a legitimate concern on each side heading into this matchup.
Recent Team Streaks
- Phillies: The Phillies have won three of their last five games and took two out of three against the Boston Red Sox in their last series.
- Yankees: The Yankees are also 3-2 in their last five games. They lost two of three to the Toronto Blue Jays heading into this series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Market |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | Home Runs (Over 0.5) |
| Kyle Schwarber | Home Runs (Over 0.5) |
| Will Warren | Total Strikeouts (Over 5.5) |
| Taijuan Walker | Total Strikeouts (Over 4.5) |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first meeting between these teams this season.
- This weekend’s three-game series is the only time these teams will play in the regular season.
- The Yankees are 30-19 at home on the year. The Phillies are 25-25 on the road.
Phillies vs Yankees Model Projection
Score Projection: Phillies 5 – Yankees 4
Win Probability: Phillies 51%, Yankees 49%
Final Thoughts
I think that we see a close game here in either direction. Both offenses are explosive and both bullpens leave plenty to be desired. But the Phillies have a slight edge in the starting pitching department with Taijuan Walker on the bump. He should make the difference in this game and I will take the Phillies to win as an underdog thanks to a strong start from Walker tonight.
