Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Pick – 7/26/2025
The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Yankees will face off in the second game of their weekend series on Saturday afternoon. The Phillies got the win in the opening game of this series behind an offensive explosion. The Yankees will look to bounce back at home behind better pitching in this contest. Before the Phillies and Yankees do battle in the Bronx, continue reading to get my Phillies vs Yankees prediction.
Our Phillies vs Yankees Pick
- Pick: Phillies moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
- Get Your Bonus Bets: With bet365 bonus code ATSBONUS you can bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets on tonight’s games. Click the Claim Bonus button below to start!
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees
- Date & Time: Saturday, July 26, 2025, 1:05 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Ranger Suárez (PHI) vs Marcus Stroman (NYY)
- Stadium: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: MLB Network, YES Network, NBCS‑PH
Key Storylines
Pitching form
Ranger Suárez has been stellar for the Phillies this year. He is 7-4 with a 2.66 ERA and his advanced stats tell a much better story than his win-loss record. His hard‑hit and average exit velocity metrics rank in the top 1 percentile. That will make him a tough matchup for the power bats of New York.
Marcus Stroman is 2-1 with a 5.64 ERA in limited action for the Yankees. He ranks below the 10th percentile in whiff rate, xERA, hard‑hit rate, and average exit velocity. He may struggle to generate outs against a Phillies lineup that scored into double-digits on Friday night.
Bullpen usage
The Phillies bullpen has been slightly better than that of the Yankees this season. Philly’s bullpen was much better in the first game of this series. The Yankees bullpen struggled mightily against the Phillies on Friday. They allowed 10 earned runs and wasted a decent start from Will Warren.
Recent team streaks
The Phillies have won three of their last four games and the Yankees have lost three of their last four games. Philly has gone on that run against AL East opponents. They took two out of three against the Boston Red Sox before beating the Yankees last night.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 1+ Home Run |
| Kyle Schwarber | 1+ Home Run |
| Aaron Judge | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Phillies lead the season series 1-0 after winning on Friday night.
- The Yankees have given up 20 runs in their last two games.
- The Phillies have scored 20 runs in their last two games.
Phillies vs Yankees Model Projection
Score Projection: Phillies 5 – Yankees 4
Win Probability: Phillies 52%, Yankees 48%
Final Thoughts
I think that we will see better pitching and a closer game between these teams on Saturday afternoon. But I do think that the Phillies still have the upper hand for the second game in a row. Suarez should outperform a pitcher in Stroman who has not been able to stay on the mound consistently for New York. The Phillies should beat the Yankees once again and continue New York’s recent slide.
