Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction – 8/27/2025
The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets will face off for the third straight night when they play on Wednesday. The Mets have taken the first two games of this series and have brought these teams closer together in the NL East standings. Will New York secure a three-game sweep or will the Phillies bounce back on the road? Continue reading to get my Phillies vs Mets prediction for tonight’s game.
Our Phillies vs Mets Pick
- Pick: New York Mets moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
- Date & Time: Wednesday, August 27, 2025, 7:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Mets – Nolan McLean (2-0, 1.46 ERA)
- Phillies – Taijuan Walker (4-6, 3.44 ERA)
- Stadium: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: SNY and NBCS-PH
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Nolan McLean has been a success story early in his tenure with the Mets. McLean is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA and he has 15 strikeouts in 12.1 innings of work thus far. Philadelphia’s Taijuan Walker has a 4-6 record and 3.44 ERA. He has been a steady option on the mound for Philly this year but will need to pitch well to outperform McLean.
Key Players
- Brandon Nimmo (Mets): Nimmo had two RBI in Tuesday’s win over the Phillies. He drove in the game-winning run in the bottom of the ninth and will try to help his team win again here.
- Pete Alonso (Mets): The Mets’ top power hitter had a two-RBI double in Tuesday night’s game.
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Harper gave the Phillies the lead early on Tuesday with a two-RBI single.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Mets have won two games in a row and four of their last five.
- Philadelphia is 2-3 in their last five games after dropping their last two against the Mets.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Juan Soto | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Pete Alonso | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Kyle Schwarber | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Mets hold a 6-2 lead in their season series against the Phillies.
- Both games in this three-game series have gone over their respective totals so far.
- Philadelphia is 34-34 on the road this season after Tuesday’s loss.
- The Mets improved to 43-24 in home games for the year.
Phillies vs Mets Model Projection
Score Projection: Mets 5 – Phillies 4
Win Probability: Mets 57%, Phillies 43%
Final Thoughts
I have been very impressed with Nolan McLean on the mound for the Mets recently. I did not have high expectations for him coming out of the gate but he has proven me wrong so far. I think McLean will continue to prove me wrong with his most impressive performance yet against a dangerous Phillies lineup. I’ll take the Mets to grab another win at home and to continue to inch closer to the Phillies in the NL East standings.
