Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Pick – 8/25/2025
The biggest game of the night in MLB on Monday is the game between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets. The Phillies are looking to extend their lead over the Mets in the NL East and the Mets are trying to close that gap while strengthening their grip on a National League Wild Card spot. Before the first pitch from Citi Field, continue reading to get my Phillies vs Mets prediction for the night.
Our Phillies vs Mets Pick
- Pick: New York Mets Moneyline
- Confidence: 4 /5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
- Date & Time: Monday, August 25, 2025, 7:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) vs Kodai Senga (NYM)
- Stadium: Citi Field, Flushing, NY
- Broadcast: SNY and NBCS‑PH
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Cristopher Sanchez brings an impressive 11‑4 record into this start. He also has a 2.46 ERA and 169 strikeouts over 157 innings this season. He’s recently logged strong outings and owns a solid track record against the Mets. Sanchez has 43 strikeouts in 39.1 innings against New York.
Kodai Senga enters this start with a 7‑5 record and 2.58 ERA across 21 starts. His recent form includes two tough outings and a 4.20 ERA over his last three starts. He’s got a 1.46 ERA in 12.1 innings against the Phillies.
Recent Team Streaks
The Phillies have won two straight games and four of their last five. They hold a seven-game lead in the NL East over the Mets. The Mets won two of their three games against the Atlanta Braves this weekend and will look to build on that in this game.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Over 0.5 HR |
| Cristopher Sanchez | Under 5.5 Strikeouts |
| Pete Alonso | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Mets hold a 4-2 lead in their season series against the Phillies this year.
- Home teams are 5-1 in games between the Phillies and Mets during the 2025 season.
- Philadelphia is just above the .500 mark on the road this year at 34-32.
- The Mets are 41-24 at home this year.
Phillies vs Mets Model Projection
Score Projection: Mets 5 – Phillies 4
Win Probability: Mets 56 %, Phillies 44 %
Final Thoughts
This should be a competitive game between two teams with postseason aspirations. But I think that the Mets will take it in the end thanks to their incredible record at home in 2025. Senga should be able to match up well against Sanchez and this low-scoring contest should go the way of the Mets as they look to catch up with the Phillies over the final month and change of the regular season.
