Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick – 9/3/2025
The Milwaukee Brewers will host the Philadelphia Phillies in a battle of division leaders on Wednesday. The Brewers are leading the NL Central and the Phillies are atop the NL East. That makes this matchup arguably the best of the day in baseball. We have taken a close look at this marquee matchup, have broken it down below, and have provided you with our Phillies vs Brewers prediction.
Our Phillies vs Brewers Pick
- Pick: Milwaukee Brewers to win
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Date & Time: Wednesday, September 3, 2025, 7:40 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Aaron Nola (PHI) vs. José Quintana (MIL)
- Stadium: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Wisconsin, NBC Sports Philadelphia
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
José Quintana (10-5, 3.69 ERA) will take the mound for the Brewers. Quintana has been a reliable starter for the Brewers all year and will try to keep it that way against a Phillies team with an explosive lineup. Aaron Nola (3-7, 6.47 ERA) will get the start for the Phillies. Nola has struggled with consistency as his stats clearly indicate. The pitching advantage favors the Brewers in this matchup as Nola works his way back to his typical level.
Key Players
Brice Turang has been a standout for the Brewers. He batted .343 with 10 home runs in August and significantly improved his offensive contributions. The power-hitting duo of Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper remains a constant threat for the Phillies.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Brewers have lost two games in a row coming into this matchup.
- Philadelphia has won four of its last five games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Kyle Schwarber | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| José Quintana | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Brewers lead the season series between these teams 3-1.
- Road teams have won all four matchups between the Brewers and Phillies this season.
Phillies vs Brewers Model Projection
- Score Projection: Brewers 5 – Phillies 4
- Win Probability: Brewers 56%, Phillies 44%
Final Thoughts
I think that we are going to see a home team win a game between the Brewers and Phillies for the first time all year. Quintana has been rock solid for the Brew Crew this season. His consistent level should be enough to outperform a struggling Aaron Nola. I’ll take the Brewers to win at home in what is basically a pick ’em game in the game of the night in the majors.
