Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick – 9/1/2025
Division leaders will open a series against one another when the Philadelphia Phillies face the Milwaukee Brewers on Monday. Milwaukee has the best record in baseball going into this series and will look to get another impressive win at home here. Before the leaders of the NL East and NL Central do battle in Milwaukee, you can find my Phillies vs Brewers prediction below.
Our Phillies vs Brewers Pick
- Pick: Brewers -1.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers
- Date & Time: Monday, September 1, 2025, 4:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Phillies: Taijuan Walker (3.63 ERA, 4-7)
- Brewers: Jacob Misiorowski (4.33 ERA, 4-2)
- Stadium: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Jacob Misiorowski takes the hill for Milwaukee in this game. He’s posted a 4.33 ERA with 65 strikeouts over 43.2 innings. He’s coming off a strong outing where he logged five innings with 10 strikeouts. Philadelphia’s Taijuan Walker has rebounded from a rough 2024 and sits at a 3.63 ERA with 73 strikeouts over 101.2 innings. Walker has struggled recently and has allowed nine runs across his last 16.2 innings. Walker is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in three career appearances versus Milwaukee.
Key Players
- The Brewers’ offense led by Christian Yelich, Jackson Chourio, William Contreras, and Brice Turang.
- The Phillies counter with power from Kyle Schwarber (49 HR), Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, and Nick Castellanos. They will look to take Misiorowski deep and chase him from this game early on.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Phillies won three out of four games against the Atlanta Braves over the weekend.
- Milwaukee won two out of three games against the Toronto Blue Jays in their most recent series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| Christian Yelich | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Taijuan Walker | Under 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Brewers have a 3-0 lead in their season series against the Phillies this year.
- Milwaukee went 3-0 on the road against the Phillies in their only other series.
- Philadelphia is 34-35 on the road this season.
- Milwaukee is 45-24 on their home field in 2025.
Phillies vs Brewers Model Projection
Score Projection: Brewers 5 – Phillies 3
Win Probability: Brewers 62%, Phillies 38%
Final Thoughts
The Milwaukee Brewers have proven time and time again that they are capable of taking care of business against the best teams in baseball. The Brewers have swept the Phillies once already this year and I think they will start this series with a win over Philadelphia as well. Misiorowski should have another strong start for the Brew Crew and Philadelphia’s struggles on the road should continue today.
