Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pick – 9/7/2025
The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins will close out their weekend series at loanDepot park in South Florida on Sunday. Philly holds the top spot in the NL East going into this game and they will look to prolong a Marlins losing streak that has more or less knocked them out of playoff contention. Before these division rivals go at it on Sunday afternoon, continue reading to get my Phillies vs Marlins prediction.
Our Phillies vs Marlins Pick
- Pick: Phillies -1.5
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
- Date & Time: Sunday, September 7, 2025, 1:40 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Taijuan Walker vs Undecided (MIA)
- Stadium: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida, NBC Sports Philadelphia
Key Storylines
- Philadelphia has opened up a huge lead in the NL East standings. They enter Sunday’s play seven games ahead of the second-place New York Mets and they just need to avoid a late meltdown to lock up the division.
- Miami has yet to decide on a starting pitcher for this matchup. Who they choose could have a dramatic impact on their chances of winning this game at home.
Pitching matchup
Taijuan Walker’s year has stabilized after a rough 2024. The good news for Philadelphia is that he’s kept the ball in the park more consistently and often hands a lead to a pen that has fared better of late. Miami has not decided on a starting pitcher going into this game. The Phillies will likely have the advantage in the starting pitching department in this matchup no matter who the Marlins ultimately choose to pitch for them here.
Recent team streaks
- The Phillies have won three straight games and four of their last five.
- Miami has dropped five games in a row and are now out of Wild Card contention.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | 1+ Home Run |
| Taijuan Walker | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
| Trea Turner | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Philadelphia holds a 7-2 edge in the season series against the Marlins this year.
- Philly has won four straight games against the Marlins going into this matchup.
- The Phillies are 38-36 on the road this season.
- Miami is 31-39 in their home ballpark.
Phillies vs Marlins Model Projection
Score Projection: Phillies 5 – Marlins 3
Win Probability: Phillies 63%, Marlins 37%
Final Thoughts
The Miami Marlins are in disarray coming into this Sunday afternoon matchup with the Phillies. The Marlins have lost five games in a row and aren’t sure who is going to start this game on the mound for them. All of that should add up to the Phillies having a huge advantage in this contest. I will take Philadelphia to win and cover the runline on the road as they should move a step closer to locking up this year’s NL East championship.
