Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Pick – 8/11/2025
The Philadelphia Phillies will head to Great American Ball Park to face the Cincinnati Reds on Monday night. Both teams are in the National League playoff race and this series will be of vital importance to both teams. Before these teams try to extend their winning streaks against one another on Monday, continue reading to get my Phillies vs Reds prediction.
Our Phillies vs Reds Pick
- Pick: Cincinnati Reds moneyline
- Confidence: 2/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date & Time: Monday, August 11, 2025, at 6:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Phillies: Taijuan Walker (4-5, 3.53 ERA)
- Reds: Andrew Abbott (8-2, 2.34 ERA)
- Stadium: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: FDSOH and NBCS-PH
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Andrew Abbott is having a strong season for the Reds. He has a 2.34 ERA and an 8-3 record. Abbott is looking for his first win since the All-Star break in this game and will look to shake off a rough outing against the Chicago Cubs in his last start. Taijuan Walker is 4-5 with a 3.53 ERA for the Phillies. He will try to build on a start where he threw six shutout innings against the Baltimore Orioles last time out.
Key Players
Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies offense with 41 home runs and 95 RBI. Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 19 long balls, 74 RBI, and a .277 average. A strong performance from one of those two players could tilt this game in their respective team’s favor.
Recent team streaks
- Phillies have won five of their last six games and three in a row.
- Reds won their last two games heading into this series opener.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Home runs | Over 0.5 |
| Elly De La Cruz | Total bases | Over 1.5 |
| Andrew Abbott | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Philadelphia leads the season series 2-1 against the Reds.
- The under is 2-1 in games played between these teams in 2025.
- Philadelphia is 31-28 on the road this season.
- Cincinnati is 33-26 at Great American Ball Park this year.
Phillies vs Reds Model Projection
Score Projection: Phillies 4 – Reds 5
Win Probability: Cincinnati Reds 60%, Philadelphia Phillies 40%
Final Thoughts
The Reds have a slight advantage in the starting pitching department in this game. I expect another solid outing from Andrew Abbott and for the Reds’ home-field advantage to be a factor as well. Cincinnati should inch to within one game of the New York Mets in the race for the final NL Wild Card spot with a win at home tonight.
