Oakland Athletics VS Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Preview – 04/07/2024

Oakland Athletics vs Detroit Tigers Overview

• Date: April 7, 2024
• Venue: Comerica Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Joe Boyle - Athletics
  • Jack Flaherty - Tigers
• Run Line: Athletics 1.5 -135, Tigers -1.5 115
• Money Line: Athletics 160, Tigers -185
• Total (Over/Under):8.5 -110

Oakland Athletics vs Detroit Tigers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Oakland Athletics - 37%
• Detroit Tigers - 63%

Projected Win %:

• Oakland Athletics - 38.12%
• Detroit Tigers - 61.88%

Oakland Athletics vs Detroit Tigers Game Preview & Prediction

In a highly anticipated American League matchup, the Detroit Tigers are set to host the Oakland Athletics at Comerica Park on April 7, 2024. The Tigers, with a record of 6-2, have been having a great season so far, while the Athletics, with a struggling 2-7 record, have been facing difficulties.

On the mound, the Tigers are projected to start right-handed pitcher Jack Flaherty, who has been performing well this season. Flaherty has started one game, maintaining an impressive ERA of 1.50. However, his xFIP suggests that he may regress slightly in future performances. On the other side, the Athletics are projected to start right-handed pitcher Joe Boyle, who has been struggling with an ERA of 23.62. Despite his poor performance, his xFIP indicates that he may improve going forward.

The Tigers' offense ranks as the 18th best in MLB this season, while the Athletics' offense ranks slightly lower at 22nd. However, the Athletics have excelled in stolen bases, ranking fifth in the league. The Tigers have struggled in team batting average, ranking 27th, as well as in home runs and stolen bases.

In terms of bullpen strength, the Tigers' bullpen ranks 11th in MLB according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, while the Athletics' bullpen ranks 27th. This could play a significant role in the outcome of the game.

Considering the current odds, the Tigers are the clear betting favorites with a moneyline of -175, indicating an implied win probability of 61%. The Athletics, on the other hand, are underdogs with a moneyline of +150 and an implied win probability of 39%.

As the Tigers aim to continue their strong season, they have a clear advantage in this matchup. However, baseball is known for its unpredictability, and the Athletics will be looking to turn their season around. It will be an exciting game to watch as these two teams battle it out on the field.

Quick Takes Oakland Athletics:

Joe Boyle is projected to record an average of 14.6 outs in this matchup, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Noda in the 12th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics's expected catcher in today's game) profiles as a horrible pitch framer.

• Pitch framing is a catcher's ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, "stealing" strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Quick Takes Detroit Tigers:

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jack Flaherty in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Joe Boyle will hold the platoon advantage against Mark Canha today.

• Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Game Trends

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 134 games (+11.00 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 151 games (+12.28 Units / 7% ROI)
• J.D. Davis has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)

Final Score Prediction: Oakland Athletics 3.74 vs Detroit Tigers 4.57

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