New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction – 8/19/2025
The New York Mets will face the Washington Nationals on Tuesday night. The Mets have dominated the Nationals this season and will look to get another win over them in this series opener. Before the Mets and Nats go at it in NL East competition, you can continue reading to get my Mets vs Nationals prediction.
Our Mets vs Nationals Pick
- Pick: Mets -1.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals
- Date & Time: Tuesday, August 19, 2025, 6:45 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: David Peterson (Mets) vs. Jake Irvin (Nationals)
- Stadium: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
- Broadcast: MASN2 (Nationals), SNY (Mets)
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
David Peterson is 7–5 with a 3.30 ERA and he will take the mound for the Mets in this game. The left-hander has been effective this season. But he has given up 10 runs across his last two starts and will hope to turn things around in this start.
Jake Irvin is 8–7 and has a 5.14 ERA going into this start for the Nationals. Irvin has struggled recently and is winless in August with a 9.45 ERA over his past three starts. He has given up five runs or more in three of his last five starts and will face a stern test against the Mets’ lineup.
Key Players
- New York Mets:
- Juan Soto (RF): Soto is leading the Mets with 30 home runs. That is especially impressive with the power-hitting Pete Alonso on his team.
- Pete Alonso (1B): Alonso adds significant pop to the Mets’ lineup. He has reached the 100-RBI mark for the season.
- Washington Nationals:
- James Wood (LF): Wood leads the Nationals in home runs and RBI. He is one of the few consistent contributors in the Washington lineup.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Mets are 3–7 in their last 10 games.
- Washington is 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- New York has won two games in a row to win their most recent series against the Seattle Mariners.
- Washington is 3-2 in their last five games. They split a four-game series with the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Juan Soto | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| James Wood | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| David Peterson | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Mets are 5-2 this season against the Nationals.
- New York has won four games in a row against the Nationals coming into this series opener.
Mets vs Nationals Model Projection
- Score Projection: Mets 6 – Nationals 4
- Win Probability: Mets 52%, Nationals 48%
Final Thoughts
The Mets enter this game with a strong recent track record against the Nationals and a pitching advantage with David Peterson on the mound. This game is a great chance for Peterson to get back on track before he faces more difficult opponents in more important games. I recommend laying the runline with the Mets as they should get a third win in a row and a fifth straight over the Nationals.
