Mets vs Brewers Game 2 Prediction, Odds & Picks – 10/2/2024

• Date: October 2, 2024
• Venue: American Family Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Sean Manaea - Mets
  • Frankie Montas - Brewers

Mets vs Brewers Game 2 Betting Odds

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Game 2 Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Mets vs Brewers Game 2 Betting Preview

As the Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets gear up for the second game of their National League Wild Card series on October 2, 2024, the Brewers find themselves in a must-win situation at American Family Field after dropping Game 1 at home to the Mets. The Brewers, holding home-field advantage, are projected to send right-hander Frankie Montas to the mound, while the Mets will counter with lefty Sean Manaea.

Milwaukee's offense has shown impressive depth, ranking 8th in batting average and 2nd in stolen bases this season. While their home run power sits at an average 16th, their ability to manufacture runs in various ways could be crucial against Manaea. Meanwhile, the Mets boast a powerful lineup, with their home run capability ranked 6th, providing them a potential edge if they can capitalize on Montas' offerings.

THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, gives a slight nod to the Brewers with a 51% win probability, marginally above the implied 50% from betting markets. This suggests Milwaukee might hold a slight edge in this matchup. Gary Sanchez has been a standout for the Brewers over the past week, posting a .400 batting average and 1.155 OPS, while Francisco Lindor has been equally impactful for the Mets, with two home runs and a .946 OPS across five games.

In yesterday's series opener, the Mets had an explosive eight-run showing on offense, making them the highest-scoring team on the opening day of the MLB postseason. With this game being a pick 'em on the moneyline, bettors and fans alike can expect a nail-biting affair as the Brewers aim to capitalize on their home advantage to even this series and the Mets look to leverage their power-hitting prowess to complete a two-game sweep.

Quick Takes New York Mets:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that the New York Mets will record 4.28 runs on average in this matchup: the most of all teams in action today.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Quick Takes Milwaukee Brewers:

Positioned 2nd-steepest in the majors this year, Milwaukee Brewers bats collectively have put up a 16.4° launch angle on their highest exit velocity balls (a reliable metric to assess power skills).

• If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn't do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.

Game Trends

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 72 games at home (+7.50 Units / 8% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 104 games (+21.70 Units / 16% ROI)

Mets vs Brewers Game 2 Prediction

Final Score: New York Mets 4.28 vs Milwaukee Brewers 4.15

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