New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction – 9/6/2025
The New York Mets and Cincinnati Reds will play an important game on Saturday night at Great American Ball Park. The visitors have been swinging hot bats over the past two weeks, while the home side is trying to halt a late-season slide. Early markets show New York in the favorite role with a rookie starting pitcher set to take the mound. Before this contest begins in the National League, continue reading to get my Mets vs Reds prediction.
Our Mets vs Reds Pick
- Pick: Mets Moneyline
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Head-to-head: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date & Time: Saturday, September 6, 6:40 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Jonah Tong vs Brady Singer
- Stadium: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: SNY, FD Sports Ohio
Key Storylines
- New York’s offense has surged, averaging close to 8 runs per game over the last couple of weeks.
- Rookie righty Jonah Tong earned a win in his debut and brings swing-and-miss stuff that has translated well to the majors so far.
- This game has huge playoff implications as the Reds try to catch up to the Mets in the NL Wild Card race.
Pitching matchup
- Jonah Tong: Tong is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA after his first big-league start with six strikeouts across five innings. In 2025, across Double-A and Triple-A, he piled up 179 strikeouts in 113.2 innings with a 0.92 WHIP, driven by a high-ride fastball and a tight slider that misses barrels. Expect a modest pitch count and heavy reliance on two pitches early.
- Brady Singer: Singer’s recent form is encouraging. Over his last 5 starts, he’s worked 27.2 innings with eight earned runs allowed for a 2.60 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He recently threw six scoreless innings against Philadelphia and had eight punchouts against St. Louis.
Key Players
- Mets: Juan Soto is closing in on a 40-30-type campaign with a .261 average, 37 homers, and 27 steals. Pete Alonso recently set the franchise career home run record and continues to punish mistakes to the pull side.
- Reds: Elly De La Cruz owns a .268 average with 19 homers and he will try to bounce back from a disappointing ninth-inning at-bat where he struck out looking with the bases loaded.
Recent team streaks
- The Mets have won three of their last four games.
- Cincinnati has lost three games in a row entering tonight.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Pete Alonso, NYM | To hit a home run |
| Juan Soto, NYM | Over 1.5 total bases |
| Brady Singer, CIN | Over 5.5 strikeouts |
| Jonah Tong, NYM | Over 4.5 strikeouts |
| Elly De La Cruz, CIN | Over 1.5 total bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- These teams are 2-2 against each other so far this season.
- The road team is 3-1 in the four games these teams have played.
Mets vs Reds Model Projection
Score Projection: Mets 6 – Reds 5
Win Probability: Mets 56%, Reds 44%
Final Thoughts
New York’s combination of elite top-end bats and Tong’s promising start in the big leagues gives them a slight edge. Tong looked very good in his first appearance in the majors and the Reds have to be reeling after leaving the bases loaded to lose last night’s game. The clearest angle is to bet the Mets moneyline, with a lean to the over if you prefer action on the total.
