Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Prediction – 8/1/2025
The Milwaukee Brewers will face the Washington Nationals Friday night at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C. The Brewers are looking to hold off the Cubs at the top of the NL Central standings while the Nationals enter this weekend 20 games below .500. Before these National League teams face off on Friday night, continue reading to get my Brewers vs Nationals prediction.
Our Brewers vs Nationals Prediction
- Pick: Brewers Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals |
| Date & Time | August 1, 2025, 6:45 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Jose Quintana vs. Mitchell Parker |
| Stadium | Nationals Park, Washington, D.C. |
| Broadcast | MASN2 |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Form: The Brewers will start Jose Quintana in this contest. Quintana is 7-4 and has a 3.50 ERA for the year. Quintana gave up five runs in his last start against the Miami Marlins but only two of those runs were earned. Mitchell Parker is 7-10 with a 4.91 ERA for the season. The Nationals won their last two games that Parker has started and will look for a third straight here.
Bullpen Usage: The Brewers’ bullpen has been pretty average this season. But average is great compared to the bullpen of the Nationals. The Nationals rank dead last in the league in bullpen ERA and could struggle again against the lineup of the Brewers.
Team Momentum: The Brewers had a three-game winning streak snapped in their last game against the Chicago Cubs. But the Brewers won two out of three games in that series with Chicago to take the lead in the NL Central standings. Washington has dropped two straight games coming into this series opener.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Mitchell Parker | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 |
| Christian Yelich | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- Milwaukee has gone 3-0 against the Nationals so far this season.
- The over has gone 3-0 in the three meetings between these teams this season.
- Milwaukee is 28-24 on the road this season.
- Washington is 21-31 at home for the year.
Brewers vs Nationals Model Projection
Projected Score: Brewers 5 – Nationals 3
Win Probability: Brewers 65% | Nationals 35%
Final Thoughts
My best bet for this series opener from Washington is for the Milwaukee Brewers to get a win on the road. Peralta gives the Brewers a significant starting pitching advantage in this contest and the Nationals have the worst bullpen in the league. I think that the Brew Crew will take the lead in the first five innings of this game and the Nats will be unable to prevent Milwaukee from building that lead late. If you are feeling adventurous, you can lay the runline with Milwaukee. I will take the Brewers to win straight up.
