Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Yankees Pick – 3/29/2025

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Yankees Betting Preview

On March 29, 2025, the New York Yankees will host the Milwaukee Brewers in what promises to be an exciting Interleague showdown at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees are coming off a solid start to the season, boasting a record of 1-0 after a victory over the Brewers just two days prior, where they secured a 4-2 win. Meanwhile, the Brewers find themselves struggling early with a 0-1 record and looking to bounce back from their recent defeat.

The Yankees will turn to their ace, Max Fried, who is projected to allow an elite average of only 1.7 earned runs today, despite giving up 5 earned runs in his last start on October 2, 2024. Fried is ranked as the 9th best starting pitcher in MLB, indicating he’s among the elite arms in the league. With an average projection of 5.2 innings pitched and the ability to strike out 5.1 batters, Fried is expected to be a tough challenge for the Brewers' lineup.

On the other hand, Nestor Cortes will take the mound for the Brewers. Although he is ranked 75th among starting pitchers, his last outing on September 18, 2024, was commendable, as he went 6 innings without allowing an earned run. However, Cortes has had a rough start to the season, projecting to pitch only 4.8 innings today and allowing 2.2 earned runs on average.

The Yankees offense is hitting its stride, ranking 3rd in MLB and leading the league in home runs. In contrast, the Brewers' offense is ranked a solid 10th overall, but they must find a way to capitalize on opportunities to avoid falling further behind. With the Yankees as betting favorites at -160 and an implied team total of 4.70 runs, they look to build on their strong start and capitalize on the Brewers' early-season woes.

Quick Takes Milwaukee Brewers:

With 6 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected offense, Nestor Cortes will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

• Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Max Fried will hold the platoon advantage over Christian Yelich in today's game.

• Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

Among every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

In today's game, Aaron Judge is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (85th percentile).

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 66 of their last 116 games (+16.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 81 away games (+10.60 Units / 11% ROI)

• Date: March 29, 2025
• Venue: Yankee Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Nestor Cortes - Brewers
  • Max Fried - Yankees

Betting Odds

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