Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction – 7/7/2025

The Miami Marlins travel to Great American Ball Park to face the Cincinnati Reds on Monday, July 7 in a National League matchup. Cincinnati comes into this game as a favorite but they have lost two straight entering this series. Here, I break down this Monday night MLB game and make my Marlins vs Reds prediction.

Our Marlins vs Reds Pick

• Pick: Cincinnati Reds moneyline
• Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds
• Date & Time: Monday, July 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
• Starting Pitchers: Janson Junk (2-1, 3.62 ERA) vs Brady Singer (7-6, 4.36 ERA)
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
• Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio (FDSOH) and FDS Florida (FDSFL)

Key Storylines

• Pitching form: Junk has been solid this season with a 3.62 ERA. He was a hard-luck loser in his last start despite giving up just two runs across six innings to the Minnesota Twins. For Cincinnati, Brady Singer is 7-6 with a 4.36 ERA. He pitched just three innings and gave up two runs to the Boston Red Sox in his last start.
• Bullpen usage: Both bullpens are right near the bottom-10 in MLB in bullpen ERA this season. That will put some pressure on both starting pitchers to perform in this game.
• Recent team streaks: Miami is 2-3 in their last five and most recently dropped two of three to the Milwaukee Brewers. Cincinnati has lost two straight and is 2-3 in their last five. They most recently lost two out of three games to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Betting Trends & H2H

• Head-to-Head: These teams have played three games against each other so far this season. The Marlins have a 2-1 lead in the season series.
• Runline Trends: Miami has the best runline record in MLB. They are 52-36 (59.1%) on the runline for the year.
• Over/Under Trends: Cincinnati has gone under the total in 55.8% of their games in 2025.

Marlins vs Reds Model Projection

Score Projection: Miami 4 – Cincinnati 6

Win Probability: Cincinnati 62%, Miami 38%

Final Thoughts

The pitching matchup in this game is pretty even in my view. Both Junk and Singer have had their moments, but aren’t arms that I would necessarily trust, while both bullpens are below average. The difference in this game for me is the offense of the Reds, which has more power than the Marlins’ lineup.

My model projection favors Cincinnati with a two-run cushion, making the moneyline a solid bet. Those feeling a little more adventurous can lay the runline with Cincinnati, but I am not one of those adventurous people in this scenario.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.