Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction – 7/7/2025
The Boston Red Sox will open a three-game series against the Colorado Rockies on Monday, July 7. Boston has won three games in a row and has a golden opportunity to extend that winning streak against the team with the worst record in MLB. Here, I break down this interleague matchup and give you my Rockies vs Red Sox prediction for Monday night in Boston.
Our Rockies vs Red Sox Pick
- Pick: Boston Red Sox -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox
- Date & Time: Monday, July 7, 2025, 7:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Colorado: Austin Gomber (0‑1, 5.49 ERA)
- Boston: Richard Fitts (0‑3, 4.50 ERA)
- Stadium: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: NESN and COLR
Key Storylines
- Austin Gomber has a 5.49 ERA across 19.2 innings this season. He has given up 26 hits in those 19.2 innings. Some of that has to do with pitching in Colorado, but Coors Field doesn’t totally absolve him of his shortcomings either.
- Richard Fitts is 0-3 so far this season, posting a 4.50 ERA. Gomber makes him look like Randy Johnson out there, but Fitts has plenty of room for improvement himself.
Bullpen usage
- Boston’s bullpen ranks eighth in bullpen ERA so far this season.
- Colorado comes into this series with the fifth-worst bullpen ERA in the majors.
Recent team streaks
- The Rockies got a win in their last game against the Chicago White Sox, salvaging one of three games against the White Sox at home over the weekend.
- Boston has won three straight games, sweeping the Washington Nationals over the weekend. They have won four out of their last five.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Boston is 29-27 as a favorite this season.
- The Red Sox are 25-20 at home in 2025, the Rockies are 11-33 on the road.
- Colorado has the worst runline record in the league this year at 36-54.
- This is the first of three games between these teams in their regular season series.
Rockies vs Red Sox Model Projection
- Score Projection: Boston 6 – Colorado 4
- Win Probability: Boston 61%, Colorado 39%
Final Thoughts
Fitts and Gomber may both exit this game early, making the bullpens a decisive factor, where Boston is far better. I will bank on the Red Sox winning their fourth game in a row here. They should cover the runline by winning this game by two runs or more on Monday night.
Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
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