Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction – 8/1/2025
The Toronto Blue Jays will host the Kansas City Royals on Friday night at Rogers Centre. The Royals are a game away from getting back to .500 for the season and will look to get there in this series opener. But they will have to overcome a first-place Blue Jays team to accomplish that feat. Before the action begins North of the border, continue reading for my Royals vs Blue Jays prediction.
Our Royals vs Blue Jays Pick
- Pick: Royals Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays |
| Date & Time | August 1, 2025, 7:07 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Michael Wacha vs. Kevin Gausman |
| Stadium | Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON |
| Broadcast | MLB.tv |
Key Storylines to Watch
- Pitching Form: We get a good starting pitching matchup in this game. Michael Wacha gets the ball for Kansas City. He enters this contest at 4-9 with a 3.53 ERA. Wacha’s individual numbers suggest that he has deserved better in the win column. He will face off with Kevin Gausman of the Blue Jays. Gausman is 7-7 with a 3.82 ERA and should also probably have more wins this season.
- Bullpen Usage: Both bullpens had a day off on Thursday and should be mostly fresh for this game. The Royals have a slightly better bullpen ERA and that could be a factor if this game is close down the stretch.
- Team Momentum: The Royals are on a hot streak. They have won three of their last four games. That includes two straight wins to close out their series with the Atlanta Braves. Toronto snapped a four-game losing streak by winning their series finale against the Baltimore Orioles.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Kevin Gausman | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- This is the first meeting between these teams this season.
- The Blue Jays have allowed eight runs or more in four of their last five games.
- The Royals have seen three of their last five games go over their totals.
- Kansas City is 26-27 on the road this year.
- Toronto is 37-17 at home.
Royals vs Blue Jays Model Projection
Projected Score: Kansas City Royals 5 – Toronto Blue Jays 3
Win Probability: Toronto Blue Jays 50% | Kansas City Royals 50%
Final Thoughts
I think that this game is a coin flip, even if the betting odds imply otherwise. Wacha is a better pitcher than his record would suggest and he should keep his team in this game. I will take the Royals to get the job done as an underdog here and to even their record at 55-55 on the first night of August.
