Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers Prediction – 6/19/2025

As the Texas Rangers prepare to host the Kansas City Royals on June 19, 2025, both teams come into this matchup with identical records of 36-38, marking a rather uneventful season for both. The Rangers are currently ranked 28th in offensive performance, with a particularly weak showing in batting average at 26th overall. Conversely, the Royals sit at 27th in offensive rankings, which highlights the struggles both teams face at the plate.

In their last game on June 18, the Rangers fell to the Royals by a score of 6-3, a disappointing result that continues to underline their average season. Notably, Shawn Armstrong, projected to start for the Rangers, is coming off a solid performance in which he pitched three innings without allowing any earned runs. However, despite his impressive ERA of 3.00, his advanced metrics suggest he may not maintain this level of performance moving forward.

Michael Wacha, set to take the mound for the Royals, has had a rough go recently, having been hit hard in his last start, allowing five earned runs over five innings. Despite this, he boasts a respectable ERA of 3.38, and his ability to limit walks (6.3 BB%) could prove advantageous against a Rangers lineup that ranks 4th in the least walks drawn.

The matchup features two right-handed pitchers, with Armstrong's high strikeout percentage (28.2 K%) facing off against a Royals offense that has the 2nd least strikeouts in MLB. This could give the Royals an edge if they can capitalize on Armstrong's control issues, while his flyball tendencies may not pose a significant threat against a Royals team that has struggled with power, ranking dead last in home runs this season.

With both teams looking to find some momentum, this game could be pivotal in shaping their seasons. The projections suggest a closer contest than the teams' records might indicate, making this matchup one to watch.

Quick Takes:

Despite technically being the "starter" today, Shawn Armstrong may not remain in the game more than a couple frames considering he will be treated as more of an opener.

• Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.

The Texas Rangers have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games

• When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Game Trends

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 61 games (+19.80 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 57 games (+22.35 Units / 34% ROI)

Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Kansas City Royals 3.64, Texas Rangers 4.29

• Date: June 19, 2025
• Venue: Globe Life Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Michael Wacha - Royals
  • Shawn Armstrong - Rangers

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.