Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners Prediction – 7/2/2025
The Kansas City Royals will visit the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday night in the Pacific Northwest. Kansas City has been ice cold of late, but they did upset the Mariners yesterday and will look to do so again tonight. Here’s an in-depth preview of Wednesday’s showdown between the Kansas City Royals and the Seattle Mariners at T‑Mobile Park in Seattle, including my Royals vs Mariners prediction. Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Noah Cameron has logged 51.2 innings with a 2.79 ERA, 38 strikeouts, and just one home run allowed—displaying excellent command versus lefties. Logan Gilbert counters with a 3.55 ERA, 67 strikeouts in 45.2 innings, a WHIP under 1.00, and eight home runs allowed. Cameron may keep this close early, but Gilbert’s strikeout rate and control offer Seattle an edge. Seattle is projected with a 71% win probability. Seattle’s relief corps has been taxed, with overuse concerns leading to shaky late‑game support. However, the recent promotion of Juan Burgos, with a 0.62 ERA in Triple‑A, bolsters depth. Kansas City’s bullpen has also been under pressure, with inconsistent performance after Hunter Harvey went to the injured list. The Royals have leaned heavily on its pen, as multiple relievers are near or above a 3.86 ERA over the last week. Seattle still has more late-game pitching options. The Mariners have surged, going 6‑3 in their last nine and they’re favored to continue that after Randy Arozarena hit two home runs in the series opener. The Royals are slumping, losing eight of nine games and ranking last in runs, homers, and walks in June. Score Projection: Seattle 5 – Kansas City 2 Win Probability: Seattle 72%, Kansas City 28% Seattle holds the advantage with a reliable starter in Logan Gilbert, more consistent run production, and a deeper bullpen. Kansas City’s offensive collapse and travel fatigue put them in a tough spot. Cameron could keep things close early, but Seattle’s firepower should take over late. The Mariners are the better bet in this matchup. Pick: Back the Mariners on the moneyline and consider the over on Arozarena’s home run prop for added value.Our Royals vs Mariners Pick
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Key Storylines
Pitching form
Bullpen usage
Recent team streaks
Best Player Props
Player Prop Randy Arozarena (SEA) Over 0.5 HR Cal Raleigh (SEA) Over 1.5 Total Bases Noah Cameron (KC) Over 4.5 K Betting Trends & H2H
Royals vs Mariners Model Projection
Final Thoughts
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