Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction – 8/5/2025
The Boston Red Sox are riding a six-game winning streak and will look to extend that streak against the Kansas City Royals at Fenway Park on Tuesday night. Boston won the first game of this series on Monday night. Here, I will break down this American League matchup and bring you my Royals vs Red Sox prediction.
Our Royals vs Red Sox Pick
- Pick: Boston Red Sox -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox |
| Date & Time | August 5, 2025, 7:10 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Ryan Bergert (KC) vs. Garrett Crochet (BOS) |
| Stadium | Fenway Park, Boston, MA |
| Broadcast | NESN, FDSKC |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Matchup: Garrett Crochet has been dominant this season. He has a 12-4 record with a 2.23 ERA and 175 strikeouts over 141.1 innings. He is the last pitcher that the Royals will want to see as they look to end Boston’s winning streak. Kansas City will throw Ryan Bergert on the mound for this game. The newly-acquired pitcher from the San Diego Padres is 1-0 and has a 2.78 ERA on the season.
Bullpen Battle: Boston’s bullpen has been effective this year. They rank third in the league in bullpen ERA and should give them an advantage late in this game. Kansas City is ninth in the league in bullpen ERA and they are certainly not bad in that department either.
Team Momentum: The Red Sox have won six straight games and won the first game of this series 8-5. The Royals have won three of their last five games and will look to bounce back from Monday’s loss tonight.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Story | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Garrett Crochet | Strikeouts | Over 7.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- Boston leads the season series between these teams 3-1.
- The Red Sox have won three straight since losing their first game against the Royals this season.
- The over/under is 2-2 in games between these teams this season.
Royals vs Red Sox Model Projection
Projected Score: Red Sox 5 – Royals 3
Win Probability: Red Sox 65% | Royals 35%
Final Thoughts
With Garrett Crochet’s stellar form and the Red Sox playing so well, I think Boston is well-positioned to continue their winning streak on Tuesday. Bergert will put up a fight early for the Royals but Boston should pull away as this game progresses and their bullpen should slam the door late. I will lay the runline with Boston in this game.
