Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction – 8/2/2025
The Detroit Tigers and Philadelphia Phillies will both send quality starting pitchers to the mound when they play on Saturday. Reigning AL Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal will pitch against Zack Wheeler in a battle of aces. Before those two aces start this game, continue reading to get my breakdown of this contest, including my Tigers vs Phillies prediction.
Our Tigers vs Phillies Pick
- Pick: Detroit Tigers moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
- Get Your Bonus Bets: Click the Claim Bonus button and use our Legendz Sportsbook promo code to get a 50% purchase bonus when betting on this game!
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 2, 2025, 4:05 PM EDT
- Starting Pitchers: Tarik Skubal (10‑3, 2.09 ERA) vs Zack Wheeler (9‑4, 2.56 ERA)
- Stadium: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBCS‑PH and FDSN‑DET
Key Storylines
- Pitching matchup: Skubal has dominated this season with a 10-3 record and a 2.09 ERA. He could make another Cy Young statement by leading the Tigers to a win here. Wheeler has been very good for Philadelphia as well. He has a 9-4 record and a 2.56 ERA but he allowed four runs his last time out.
- Offensive firepower: Detroit averages 4.8 runs per game and Philadelphia averages 4.7 runs per game. Both lineups feature power bats that will need to time things up almost perfectly to get to Skubal or Wheeler in this matchup.
- Playoff Positioning: Both of these teams are in first place in their respective divisions this season. But the Phillies are only a half-game ahead of the New York Mets for first place in the NL East and would love a win to avoid falling behind by the end of the day’s play.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Riley Greene | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Kyle Schwarber | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Phillies are 1-0 against the Tigers this year after they beat Detroit 5-4 on Friday.
- The first game of this series went over the total of 7.5 runs.
- Both teams are over .500 in interleague play this season.
- Detroit is 20-17 in interleague play this year.
- Philadelphia is 18-13 against American League opponents.
Tigers vs Phillies Model Projection
Score Projection: Tigers 5 – Phillies 4
Win Probability: Tigers 53%, Phillies 47%
Final Thoughts
We shouldn’t see much scoring early in this game, as the starting pitchers on both sides are among the best in the league. But the Tigers have a slight advantage when it comes to bullpen ERA and that should give them the edge if this game is close late. I will go with the Tigers to win this contest behind a strong game from Skubal and some timely hitting late.
