Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick – 8/3/2025
Sunday Night Baseball this week will feature an interleague matchup between the Detroit Tigers and Philadelphia Phillies. These teams have split the first two games of their three-game weekend series. They will face off in the rubber match with a series win on the line. Before the final game of this possible World Series preview, continue reading to get my Tigers vs Phillies prediction for Sunday night.
Our Tigers vs Phillies Pick
- Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
- Confidence: 4 stars
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 3, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Charlie Morton (DET) vs. Cristopher Sánchez (PHI)
- Stadium: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: ESPN
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Charlie Morton will take the mound for the Tigers on Sunday. Morton is 7-8 with a 5.42 ERA and is a steep downgrade from Tarik Skubal, who started for the Tigers on Saturday. Morton’s elevated ERA and WHIP indicate susceptibility to big innings. He will need to be careful against the dangerous lineup of the Phillies.
Opposing Morton is Cristopher Sánchez of the Phillies. Sanchez has been exceptional this year with a 9-3 record and a 2.55 ERA. His ability to limit walks and generate swings and misses will make him tough for Tigers hitters to deal with.
Key Players
- Riley Greene (DET): Greene is leading the Tigers with 26 home runs and 84 RBI. He will look to time up Sanchez early in this game.
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI): The Phillies’ power hitter leads the team with 37 home runs and 87 RBI. He is a significant threat to Morton and the rest of the Tigers pitching staff.
- Trea Turner (PHI): Turner is batting .286 and routinely sets the table for the Phillies offensively.
Recent Team Streaks
- Tigers: Detroit has won four of its last five games coming into Sunday’s rubber match.
- Phillies: Philadelphia has dropped three of its last five games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Riley Greene | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Gleyber Torres | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Kyle Schwarber | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Trea Turner | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- These teams are 1-1 against each other this season.
- This is the final game of the season series between the Tigers and Phillies.
- The over is 2-0 in games between Detroit and Philadelphia this year.
Tigers vs Phillies Model Projection
- Score Projection: Phillies 5 – Tigers 3
- Win Probability: Phillies 60%, Tigers 40%
Final Thoughts
The Tigers are going from having Tarik Skubal on the mound on Saturday to having Charlie Morton on the mound in this game. Needless to say, I don’t see that transition playing out particularly well for the Tigers on Sunday night. I will lay the runline with Philly here, as they should win with some margin behind a strong start from Sanchez.
