Boston Red Sox VS Los Angeles Angels Betting Pick & Preview – 4/5/2024

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Overview

• Date: April 5, 2024
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Kutter Crawford - Red Sox
  • Griffin Canning - Angels
• Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 (+150), Angels +1.5 (-180)
• Money Line: Red Sox -108, Angels -112
• Total (Over/Under): 9.0

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Boston Red Sox - 51.92%
• Los Angeles Angels - 52.83%

Projected Win %:

• Boston Red Sox - 43.98%
• Los Angeles Angels - 56.02%

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels Game Preview & Prediction

In a highly anticipated American League matchup, the Los Angeles Angels will host the Boston Red Sox at Angel Stadium on April 5, 2024. The Angels, with a season record of 4-2, are having a great start to the year, while the Red Sox, with a record of 5-2, are also off to an impressive start.

The Angels, as the home team, will have the advantage of playing in front of their fans. They have been performing well this season, ranking 12th in team batting average and 3rd in team home runs out of 30 teams in the MLB. However, their stolen bases ranking is quite low at 27th. The Red Sox, on the other hand, boast a strong offense, ranking 3rd in team batting average and 18th in team home runs. Their stolen bases ranking sits at a respectable 16th.

The pitching matchup for this game features Griffin Canning for the Angels and Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox. Canning is a right-handed pitcher, while Crawford also throws right-handed. Both pitchers will be looking to deliver a strong performance to help their respective teams secure a victory.

This game marks the first in a series between the Angels and the Red Sox. It will be interesting to see how these two teams match up against each other. The Angels' offense has been led by an outstanding hitter, while the Red Sox have their own standout player at the plate.

Over the past week, the Angels' best hitter has been Logan O'Hoppe, who has been on a hot streak with a batting average of .438 and an OPS of 1.175 in 6 games. Meanwhile, Tyler O'Neill has been the Red Sox's top performer, recording 6 hits, 6 runs, 2 home runs, and 1 stolen base with a batting average of .333 and an OPS of 1.145 in 6 games.

As the game approaches, both teams will be looking to continue their strong seasons and secure a victory. The Angels will aim to capitalize on their solid offense, while the Red Sox will rely on their potent lineup. With the home field advantage, the Angels will seek to extend their winning record and provide an entertaining game for their fans.

Quick Takes Boston Red Sox:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Compared to the average starting pitcher, Griffin Canning has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, recording an extra 5.4 adjusted pitches each start.

• Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.

Aaron Hicks is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

Today, Logan O'Hoppe is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.3% rate (93rd percentile).

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 78 games (+8.80 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 48 away games (+6.30 Units / 12% ROI)
• Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+8.45 Units / 169% ROI)

Final Score Prediction: Boston Red Sox 3.89 vs Los Angeles Angels 4.17

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