Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction – 8/6/2025
The Baltimore Orioles and Philadelphia Phillies will wrap up a three-game interleague series on Wednesday afternoon. Philadelphia has cruised in the first two games of this series at home. They will look to complete a sweep in this contest. Before Baltimore and Philadelphia close out their series, you can keep reading to get my Orioles vs Phillies prediction.
Our Orioles vs Phillies Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles @ Philadelphia Phillies
- Date & Time: Wednesday, August 6, 2025, 12:35 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Trevor Rogers (Orioles) vs Ranger Suarez (Phillies)
- Stadium: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: MLB.tv
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Ranger Suarez will start this game for Philadelphia. Suarez is pitching well for Philadelphia and enters this start at 8-6 with a 2.68 ERA. He has allowed just seven home runs in 100.2 innings this year and is great at avoiding damaging contact for the most part. Baltimore counters with Trevor Rogers on the mound. Rogers has emerged as one of the few standout performers for the Orioles’ rotation this year. He currently has a 1.44 ERA and will look to shut down the dangerous Phillies lineup.
Key Players
- Baltimore: Gunnar Henderson has had a disappointing season for the Orioles. But he will continue to be important to his team’s success.
- Philadelphia: Kyle Schwarber provides power in the middle of the lineup for the Phillies. He has worked his way into the NL MVP race alongside Shohei Ohtani.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Phillies are on a three-game winning streak and have dominated the first two games against Baltimore.
- Baltimore has lost three straight games coming into this series finale.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | Home runs | Over 0.5 |
| Trevor Rogers (BAL) | Total strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Austin Hays (BAL) | Total bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Phillies are 2-0 in their season series with the Orioles.
- Philadelphia has outscored Baltimore 18-3 over the last two games.
- The over/under is 1-1 in this series so far.
- Baltimore has been outscored 26-6 over their last three games.
Orioles vs Phillies Model Projection
Score Projection: Orioles 3 – Phillies 5
Win Probability: Orioles 30%, Phillies 70%
Final Thoughts
We are in for a really good pitching matchup on Wednesday afternoon. Both Rogers and Suarez have done a great job with the innings they have been on the mound for. I think that both pitchers continue to dominate in this game. I will take the under in this contest from Citizens Bank Park.
