Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick – 8/5/2025
The Philadelphia Phillies crushed the Baltimore Orioles in their first meeting on Monday night. The Phillies will look for a repeat performance when the two teams play again on Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park. Philadelphia is the favorite at home once again in this game. Before the action begins, continue reading to get my Orioles vs Phillies prediction.
Our Orioles vs Phillies Pick
- Pick: Phillies -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Phillies |
| Date & Time | August 5, 2025, 6:45 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Dean Kremer (BAL) vs. Taijuan Walker (PHI) |
| Stadium | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA |
| Broadcast | NBCS-PH, MASN |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Matchup: Taijuan Walker comes into this start at 3-5 with a 3.82 ERA for the Phillies. He has been steady even if he hasn’t been rewarded for it in the win column. Dean Kremer goes into this game at 8-7 with a 4.27 ERA. Kremer does have an ERA over 5.00 on the road this year and will need to be better than that to help his team win this game.
Bullpen Usage: The Orioles’ bullpen had a lot of work to do in Monday’s loss to the Phillies. Baltimore gave up 13 runs as a team in that game and that meant a lot of ineffective innings for the Baltimore pen.
Team Momentum: The Phillies come into this game on a two-game winning streak. They have won three of their last four games. Baltimore has lost two games in a row and four of their last five.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Kyle Schwarber | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Taijuan Walker | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- Philadelphia is 1-0 against the Orioles in the season series thus far.
- The over hit pretty easily in the first game of this series. There were 16 total runs scored.
- Philadelphia is 36-20 at home on the season.
- The Orioles have gone 24-35 on the road.
Orioles vs Phillies Model Projection
Projected Score: Phillies 6 – Orioles 4
Win Probability: Phillies 56% | Orioles 44%
Final Thoughts
The Phillies have a slight advantage in the starting pitching department going into this game. Taijuan Walker should help his team stay within striking distance in the first five or six innings of action. Then there is home-field advantage, which greatly benefits the Phillies as well. All of that should add up to a win and a runline cover for the Phillies on Tuesday.
