Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants Pick – 6/7/2025

On June 7, 2025, the San Francisco Giants will host the Atlanta Braves at Oracle Park for the second game of their series. The Giants currently hold a strong record of 36-28, while the Braves struggle at 27-35. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they navigate the season, especially with the Braves looking to climb out of their slump.

The Giants will send Logan Webb to the mound, who has been impressive with a 2.55 ERA this season. Webb, ranked as the 5th best starting pitcher in MLB by advanced-stat Power Rankings, is projected to pitch around 6.4 innings while allowing just 2.3 earned runs. His ability to limit runs gives San Francisco an edge, especially against a Braves offense that ranks 15th in the league—right in the middle of the pack but not particularly threatening.

In contrast, Atlanta will counter with Bryce Elder, who has a less favorable 4.56 ERA and is considered a below-average pitcher by the metrics. Although Elder has been unlucky this season, with a 3.92 xFIP suggesting improvement could be on the horizon, he still projects to allow 2.8 earned runs in 5.3 innings. Given the Giants' ability to pressure pitchers—despite their own struggles offensively, ranking 24th overall—this could be a challenging outing for Elder.

The Giants' bullpen, ranked 1st in MLB, adds further support, making it challenging for the Braves to mount a comeback if the Giants take an early lead. With a low Game Total of 7.5 runs and the Giants favored at -175, this matchup favors San Francisco significantly, reinforcing their position as the team to beat in today's contest.

Quick Takes Atlanta Braves:

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Bryce Elder (48.5% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 4 FB hitters in San Francisco's projected batting order.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 100.8-mph average to last season's 92.2-mph EV.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Atlanta's 90-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the best in the league: #5 overall.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Quick Takes San Francisco Giants:

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Webb in the 83rd percentile among all SPs in baseball.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Hitters such as Wilmer Flores with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bryce Elder who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 games (+7.85 Units / 12% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+6.30 Units / 79% ROI)

Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Atlanta Braves 3.68, San Francisco Giants 4.47

• Date: June 7, 2025
• Venue: Oracle Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Bryce Elder - Braves
  • Logan Webb - Giants

Check out all our free picks on every MLB game daily in our MLB betting section.