Braves vs Padres Game 2 Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 10/2/2024

• Date: October 2, 2024
• Venue: Petco Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Max Fried - Braves
  • Joe Musgrove - Padres

Braves vs Padres Game 2 Betting Odds

Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Game 2 Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Braves vs Padres Game 2 Betting Preview

As the San Diego Padres and Atlanta Braves gear up for the second game of their National League Wild Card series on October 2, 2024, at Petco Park, the stakes are high. Both teams are fighting for postseason advancement, and this clash could be pivotal. The Padres, who boast the top-ranked offense in team batting average, will rely heavily on their hitting prowess. Meanwhile, the Braves, with a strong 4th-place ranking in home runs, bring their power game to the forefront.

In yesterday's series opener, the Padres pulled out a win, setting the stage for an intense follow-up. On the mound, San Diego turns to right-hander Joe Musgrove, who got through the regular season with a 6-5 record and a 3.88 ERA. San Diego will be looking to give Musgrove plenty of run support with its offense in this matchup as they look to close the Braves out. The Braves will counter with left-hander Max Fried, who enters the postseason with a record of 11-10 and an ERA of 3.25.

While the betting markets see this as a close contest, with the Padres favored at -130 and the Braves at +110, the leading MLB projection system, THE BAT X, suggests otherwise. It projects Atlanta as the favorite with a 58% win probability, a significant 12% higher than the betting market's implied odds. This suggests potential value in backing the Braves, given their offensive capabilities and the Padres' pitching struggles.

The Padres' Kyle Higashioka has been a standout performer over the past week, posting a .286 batting average and a 1.052 OPS, while Jorge Soler leads the Braves with a .294 average. With both offenses showing potential, this matchup could hinge on which team capitalizes on their strengths. As the series unfolds, fans and bettors alike will be watching closely to see which team can seize the momentum and advance in the postseason.

Quick Takes Atlanta Braves:

As forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the Atlanta Braves are expected to tally the 4th-most runs (4.07 on average) on the slate.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Quick Takes San Diego Padres:

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

San Diego has been the #1 squad in the game when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle span that tends to result the most in base hits (45.6% rate this year).

• Balls that are hit either too high or too low can easy to field, but balls hit between -4° and 26° are far more likely to become base hits.

Game Trends

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 64 games (+18.95 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 88 of their last 140 games (+35.10 Units / 23% ROI)

Braves vs Padres Game 2 Prediction

Final Score: Atlanta Braves 4.07 vs San Diego Padres 3.2

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