Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction – 8/31/2025
The Atlanta Braves will face the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday Night Baseball at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies have controlled this series so far and will look to wrap up a huge four-game sweep with a victory at home. Before these NL East rivals meet for the final time this season, you can keep reading to get my Braves vs Phillies prediction for the night.
Our Braves vs Phillies Pick
- Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 31, 2025, 7:10 PM EDT
- Starting Pitchers: Hurston Waldrep (ATL) vs Jesús Luzardo (PHI)
- Stadium: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: ESPN
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Hurston Waldrep has been a revelation for the Braves. He has a 4–0 record with a spectacular 0.90 ERA. His dominance on the mound has been a bright spot in an otherwise challenging season for Atlanta. Jesús Luzardo brings a 12–6 record and a 4.23 ERA into this start for the Phillies. Luzardo has a huge experience edge going into this matchup and will try to leverage that to bring his team a massive victory at home.
Playoff Race
The Phillies come into this game up by six games over the second-place New York Mets in the NL East standings. We are heading into the final month of the regular season and it would take quite the meltdown for the Mets to fail to win their division. But stranger things have happened in baseball and the Phillies need to keep winning if they want to lock up a spot in the postseason.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Braves enter this game on a three-game losing streak in which they have scored a total of seven runs.
- The Phillies have won three games in a row and have scored 24 runs in those three contests.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Matt Olson | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Kyle Schwarber | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Hurston Waldrep | Under 5.5 Strikeouts |
| Jesús Luzardo | Over 6.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Phillies hold an 8-4 lead in their season series against the Braves.
- This is the last meeting scheduled between these teams in the regular season.
- Philadelphia has won the last four meetings between these teams dating back to June.
- Two of the first three games of this series have gone under their totals.
Braves vs Phillies Model Projection
- Score Projection: Braves 3 – Phillies 5
- Win Probability: Braves 35%, Phillies 65%
Final Thoughts
The Philadelphia Phillies should be able to complete a four-game sweep of the Atlanta Braves with a victory tonight. Luzardo is experienced enough to where he should be able to outperform the promising young talent pitching for the Braves in this matchup. I will lay the runline with Philly here as they should continue their run of dominance atop the NL East for the year.
