Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick – 8/29/2025
The Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies will meet in the second game of a four-game series tonight. The Phillies got a historically good game out of Kyle Schwarber last night en route to a blowout win. They will look to get another victory at home tonight against the struggling Braves. Before this game begins in Philly, you can find my Braves vs Phillies prediction below.
Our Braves vs Phillies Pick
- Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date & Time: Friday, August 29, 2025, 6:45 PM EDT
- Starting Pitchers:
- Braves — Bryce Elder (5-9, 6.12 ERA)
- Phillies — Ranger Suárez (10-6, 3.07 ERA)
- Stadium: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: Apple TV+
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Bryce Elder’s season has been disappointing for the Braves. He enters this start with a 6.12 ERA and 1.52 WHIP over 117.2 innings. His last outing was a win in his latest start against New York. He will need some of his best stuff to replicate that result against the dangerous lineup of the Phillies. Ranger Suárez has been a reliable workhorse for the Phillies with a solid 3.07 ERA and 122 strikeouts over 126 innings.
Key Players
Kyle Schwarber hit four home runs last night for the Phillies. He has been a key contributor to their team all season long and the fact that he has made the MVP race with Shohei Ohtani a discussion is an impressive feat in itself. Schwarber will be the key man in this game as well. His output could dictate the outcome of this contest.
Recent team streaks
The Braves had a two-game winning streak snapped in last night’s 19-4 loss to the Phillies. Philadelphia ended a three-game winning streak with their victory on Thursday night.
Best Player Props
| Player | Stat | Prop |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Ranger Suárez | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Matt Olson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Phillies lead their season series with the Braves by a 6-4 margin.
- The season series between these teams was tied 4-4 before the Phillies won two straight games.
Braves vs Phillies Model Projection
Score Projection: Braves 4 – Phillies 6
Win Probability: Braves 30%, Phillies 70%
Final Thoughts
The Phillies should be able to get another win over the Braves tonight. Even if Schwarber doesn’t blast another four home runs, Philadelphia’s advantages both on the mound and at the plate should be too much for Atlanta to overcome. I will go with the Phillies to cover the runline as a favorite in this contest as they should be able to win with some margin again, even if the margin isn’t 15 runs for the second straight night.
