Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction – 6/7/2025

As the Cincinnati Reds prepare to face the Arizona Diamondbacks on June 7, 2025, at Great American Ball Park, they find themselves in a challenging position, currently sitting in fourth place in the National League Central with a 30-33 record. The Reds have struggled overall this season, while the Diamondbacks are also in fourth place in their division at 31-31.

Nick Martinez takes the mound for the Reds, boasting a respectable 3.89 ERA this year, making him the 86th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats. However, he faces a tough challenge against a Diamondbacks offense that ranks 3rd in the league. While Martinez has a solid control profile, his low strikeout rate could be a concern against a patient D-Backs lineup. He projects to pitch 5.2 innings today, allowing an average of 2.9 earned runs, which may not be enough to keep the Reds competitive. On the other side, Ryne Nelson is set to start for the Diamondbacks. With an ERA of 3.43, he’s pitched well, though he’s considered an average talent overall.

With a Game Total of 9.5 runs and Cincinnati's high implied team total of 4.64 runs, this matchup promises to be competitive. Bettors should keep an eye on how each pitcher performs, as the outcomes could hinge on the effectiveness of Martinez against a strong Diamondbacks lineup.

Quick Takes Arizona Diamondbacks:

Ryne Nelson's higher usage percentage of his fastball this year (63.1 vs. 56% last season) is not ideal since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

• Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.

Quick Takes Cincinnati Reds:

Checking in at the 21st percentile, Nick Martinez has posted a 17% Strikeout% this year.

• One of the best indicators of future strikeouts is past strikeouts.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cincinnati Reds' bullpen projects as the 8th-worst out of all the teams in baseball.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 5.48, Cincinnati Reds 4.78

• Date: June 7, 2025
• Venue: Great American Ball Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Ryne Nelson - D-Backs
  • Nick Martinez - Reds

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.