The Memphis Tigers will take on the Florida Atlantic Owls in an American Athletic Conference matchup on Saturday. The Tigers enter their AAC opener with a perfect 4-0 record, fresh off a dramatic 32-31 victory over Arkansas. Florida Atlantic sits at 1-2, having recently suffered a 38-28 loss to FIU. Before this conference opener for both teams, continue reading to get my Memphis vs Florida Atlantic prediction for Saturday night.
Our Memphis vs Florida Atlantic Pick
- Pick: Memphis -13.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Memphis Tigers vs Florida Atlantic Owls
- Date & Time: Saturday, September 27, 2025, 7:00 PM EDT
- Venue: Flagler Credit Union Stadium, Boca Raton, FL
- Broadcast: ESPN2
Memphis vs Florida Atlantic Odds
| Bet Type | Line |
|---|---|
| Spread | Memphis -13.5 |
| Moneyline | Memphis -600 / FAU +400 |
| Total | Over/Under 61.5 |
Key Storylines
- Memphis’ Momentum: The Tigers have extended their winning streak to eight games, showcasing resilience with a late-game comeback against Arkansas. That win over an SEC opponent has to do wonders for their confidence going into conference play.
- Florida Atlantic’s Struggles: The Owls have faced challenges in red zone efficiency, ranking 130th in FBS with a 63.6% success rate. FAU has yet to beat a team from the FBS, with their lone win coming against Florida A&M out of the FCS ranks.
- Home-Field Advantage: This is the third road game of the season for Memphis. They are 2-0 on the road, with wins over Troy and Georgia State. This is the first home game of the season for FAU against an FBS team. They will try to take advantage of being at home to pull off an upset.
Quarterback Play
- Brendon Lewis (Memphis): In the win against Arkansas, Lewis threw for 199 yards and a touchdown. He also had 103 rushing yards and two scores on the ground, demonstrating his dual-threat capabilities.
- Caden Veltkamp (Florida Atlantic): Veltkamp has accumulated 880 passing yards with eight touchdowns and seven interceptions this season. He has to do a better job of taking care of the ball to help the Owls’ offense.
Betting Trends
- Memphis: The Tigers are 4-0 against the spread so far this season.
- Florida Atlantic: The Owls are off to a 1-2 start against the spread this year.
- Over/Under: Memphis has gone 2-2 on totals so far this season. FAU is 2-1 to the over to begin their year.
Memphis vs Florida Atlantic Model Projection
- Score Projection: Memphis 35 – Florida Atlantic 21
- Win Probability: Memphis 75%, Florida Atlantic 25%
Final Thoughts
Memphis enters this game with significant momentum after their win against Arkansas. The Tigers have a potent offense and a defense that has made key stops in critical moments. Florida Atlantic has struggled with red zone efficiency and overall scoring. Given Memphis’ current form and the Owls’ struggles, I recommend laying the points with Memphis in a game they should win by at least two touchdowns.
