The Georgia State Panthers will go up against the Georgia Southern Eagles on Saturday night. This Sun Belt Conference matchup features two teams with losing records. But one of them has to win this contest between in-state rivals. Here, I take a closer look at this rivalry game and give you my Georgia State vs Georgia Southern prediction.
Our Georgia State vs Georgia Southern Pick
- Pick: Under 60.5
- Confidence: 3/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Georgia State Panthers vs Georgia Southern Eagles
- Date & Time: Saturday, October 18, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, GA
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
Both teams are struggling this season, with Georgia State averaging just 18 points per game and Georgia Southern allowing 37.5 points per game. Georgia State’s offense has been inconsistent, while Georgia Southern’s defense has been consistently bad. Execution and discipline have been issues for both teams, with Georgia State ranking 135th in red zone offense and Georgia Southern ranking 120th in time of possession. But one of them has to get their first Sun Belt win of the season in this contest.
Quarterback Play
Georgia State quarterbacks TJ Finley and Cameran Brown have combined for 1,418 passing yards and 11 touchdowns. But they have also thrown 11 interceptions, which has hindered their offense significantly. Georgia Southern quarterback Jalen French IV has 1,259 passing yards and nine touchdowns, but he has also thrown six interceptions. Protecting the ball will be crucial for all quarterbacks involved in this matchup.
Something Has to Give
These teams are a combined 3-9 on the season so far and they are both 0-2 in the Sun Belt so far this year. The Panthers and Eagles are tied at the bottom of the Sun Belt East standings. But one of them is required to win this game and get into the win column in Sun Belt play, even if it takes a million overtimes to get there.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Georgia Southern is 2-3-1 against the spread for the season.
- Georgia State is 1-5 against the spread going into this contest.
- Georgia State is 3-3 on over/unders heading into this matchup.
- Five of Georgia Southern’s six games have gone over their totals during the 2025 season.
- Georgia Southern has won the last two meetings between these teams.
Georgia Southern vs Georgia State Model Projection
- Score Projection: Georgia Southern 27 – Georgia State 24
- Win Probability: Georgia Southern 74%, Georgia State 26%
Final Thoughts
I don’t feel good about backing either of these teams to win or cover the spread in this contest. Instead, I’m going to take the under, as both offenses have struggled mightly throughout the season and that trend should continue in this in-state rivalry game in the state of Georgia.
