The FIU Panthers have a tall task on their hands on Saturday as they visit the Penn State Nittany Lions. Penn State is favored by over 40 points going into this game and are expected to get a win and remain the number-two team in the nation. Before kickoff from Happy Valley, continue reading to get my FIU vs Penn State prediction for Saturday’s game.
Our FIU vs Penn State Pick
- Pick: Penn State -42.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Florida International Panthers vs Penn State Nittany Lions
- Date & Time: Saturday, September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET
- Venue: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
- Broadcast: Big Ten Network
FIU vs Penn State Odds
| Spread | Total |
|---|---|
| PSU –42.5 | 54.5 |
Key Storylines
- Penn State got a 46-11 win over Nevada in their season opener and they are not expected to be tested in this game either. The Nittany Lions scheduled a very soft non-conference slate and won’t face a real test until they open Big Ten play against Oregon.
- FIU head coach Willie Simmons opened his tenure with a strong win over Bethune-Cookman. But they face a gigantic step up in competition here.
Quarterback Play
- Florida International – Keyone Jenkins: Jenkins’ Week 1 stats were solid. He went 18/30 for 187 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions. That wasn’t a bad showing but it was also against Bethune Cookman and not on the road against Penn State.
- Penn State – Drew Allar: Allar enjoyed an elite performance in Penn State’s opener. He went 22/26 for 217 yards with one touchdown and no turnovers. He won’t have to do much for his team to win this game and will just need to avoid turnovers.
Betting Trends & H2H
- FIU covered the spread in their season opener against an FCS opponent.
- Penn State failed to cover the spread as a huge favorite in their season opener against Nevada.
- Penn State has won 23 straight regular-season non-conference games and is 9-1 SU in its last 10 home games.
- Penn State won 59-0 in their only prior meeting with Florida International in 2007.
FIU vs Penn State Model Projection
- Score Projection: Penn State 55 – Florida International 10
- Win Probability: Penn State 98%, Florida International 2%
Final Thoughts
Penn State should be able to name their score in this contest. They are going to dominate the trenches on both sides of the ball and Allar should have no problem carving up the FIU defense when called upon to put the ball in the air. I think Penn State will cover the huge point spread here as they should dominate their non-conference schedule before facing any real competition in conference play.
