The Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-2) will travel to Georgia to face the Kennesaw State Owls (1-2) on Saturday. Both teams are seeking their second win of the season after 1-2 starts. Which team will get their first win over an FBS opponent for the season in this contest? Continue reading to get my Arkansas State vs Kennesaw State prediction before this non-conference matchup begins.
Our Arkansas State vs Kennesaw State Pick
- Pick: Kennesaw State +5.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Kennesaw State Owls
- Date & Time: Saturday, September 20, 2025, 6:00 PM EDT
- Venue: Fifth Third Stadium at Walens Family Field, Kennesaw, GA
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
- Quarterback Play: Arkansas State’s Jaylen Raynor has shown dual-threat capabilities with 692 passing yards and 138 rushing yards. He has thrown three interceptions through three games and will need to limit turnovers in this contest. Kennesaw State’s Amari Odom has been efficient, completing 85.7% of his passes in the previous game against Merrimack of the FCS.
- Defensive Struggles: Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 34.7 points per game, ranking 132nd nationally. Kennesaw State’s defense has been more solid, allowing 26.3 points per game. Both of these teams have played two power conference opponents and one FCS opponent. We should get a more representative picture of both teams in this game than we have in their first three.
- Turnover Battle: Both teams have struggled with turnovers, which could be a deciding factor in this matchup.
Betting Trends & H2H
- The home team has won each of Kennesaw State’s last five games.
- Arkansas State has lost each of its last four games in September. Their only win this season came on August 30.
- Kennesaw State is 1-2 against the spread so far this season.
- Arkansas State is 2-1 against the spread for the year.
- This is the first-ever matchup between these two teams in college football.
Arkansas State vs Kennesaw State Model Projection
- Score Projection: Arkansas State 27 – Kennesaw State 24
- Win Probability: Arkansas State 65.9%, Kennesaw State 34.1%
Final Thoughts
We should see both of these teams play more to their usual level of play than we have seen from them all season. This is as close to an even level of competition as either of these squads has seen this year after playing teams either much better or much worse in the first three weeks of the year.
I think that Kennesaw State will cover the spread as a home underdog in this contest. I do have Arkansas State winning the game straight up. But the Owls should be able to keep things close at home in their first FBS matchup that isn’t against a power conference program.
