The Alabama Crimson Tide and Georgia Bulldogs will meet in a huge SEC game in college football on Saturday. Alabama has already taken a loss and will try to avoid a second here. But the Crimson Tide are underdogs against an unbeaten Georgia team that is ranked fifth in the country. Before kickoff from Athens, you can continue reading to get my Alabama vs Georgia prediction.
Our Alabama vs Georgia Pick
- Pick: Georgia -3.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Georgia Bulldogs
- Date & Time: Saturday, September 27, 2025, 7:30 PM EDT
- Venue: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
- Broadcast: ABC
Alabama vs Georgia Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Georgia −3.5 | Alabama +130 | Georgia −156 | 53.5 |
Key Storylines
- Quarterback Arms on Display: Alabama’s Ty Simpson has thrown for 862 yards with nine touchdowns and no interceptions so far this season. Georgia’s Gunner Stockton has 721 passing yards with four touchdowns and zero picks. The turnover-free performance by both is impressive so far this season. The quarterback who does the best job of avoiding turnovers in this game will help their team immensely in this contest.
- Run Game Contrast: Alabama is averaging about 123.7 rushing yards per game, while Georgia has been much stronger on the ground with over 200 rushing yards per game. The Bulldogs’ ability to control tempo via the run and get rushing production from their quarterback could give them an edge here.
- Defensive Strengths & Weaknesses: Georgia’s defense has been solid so far, but they allowed nearly 500 total yards in a tight win at Tennessee. Alabama’s defense has allowed fewer points but has not yet faced as balanced an offense as Georgia’s. The Tide did struggle to get stops against Florida State in their lone loss of the season.
- Rest Before Rivalries: Alabama and Georgia both had an idle week before this contest. We should see both teams fresh and prepared for this game and that should mean the highest possible level of competition between them. For fans like us, that is a great thing.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Georgia is 0-3 against the spread to begin this season.
- Alabama is 2-1 against the spread. They have covered the number twice in a row after losing their opener outright as a favorite against FSU.
- All three Alabama games have gone over their totals to start the year.
- Two of Georgia’s three games have gone over the total.
- Alabama is 44-26-4 all-time against Georgia. Alabama has won two straight over the Bulldogs and nine of the last 10.
Alabama vs Georgia Model Projection
Score Projection: Georgia 30 – Alabama 24
Win Probability: Georgia 62%, Alabama 38%
Final Thoughts
This game looks like a perfect opportunity for Georgia to overcome their recent struggles against Alabama. The Bulldogs are better offensively than Alabama for the first time in a long time. That should help them to win and cover the spread as a home favorite here, as UGA should cast some early-season doubt on Alabama’s candidacy as a College Football Playoff team.
