The Toronto Argonauts will travel west to take on the Edmonton Elks in Week 11 of the Canadian Football League season. Edmonton enters as a slight favorite against the struggling Argos. The winner of this game will avoid having the worst record in the CFL for now. I have taken a closer look at this game and you can keep reading to get my Argonauts vs Elks prediction.
Our Argonauts vs Elks Pick
- Pick: Toronto Argonauts +3
- Confidence: 2/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Toronto Argonauts vs Edmonton Elks
- Date & Time: Friday, August 15, 2025, 9:00 p.m. EDT
- Venue: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton
- Broadcast: TSN
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Edmonton −3 | Edmonton -175 / Toronto +145 | 53.5 |
Key Storylines
Recent form
Toronto is limping into Week 11 after a 46-42 home loss to Ottawa in Week 10. Nick Arbuckle threw for 317 yards and 3 touchdowns but also threw an interception for the Argos in that game. Edmonton just notched their second win of the season by a point over the Montreal Alouettes in a revenge game for Elks quarterback Cody Fajardo.
Quarterback play
Argonauts’ QB Nick Arbuckle has been delivering solid passing stats despite his team’s struggles. He is second in the league in passing yards but his 10 interceptions lead the CFL and are a concern for Toronto. Cody Fajardo has taken over starting quarterback duties for Edmonton after Tre Ford’s benching. Fajardo has six touchdowns to just one interception so far this year and Edmonton will hope he can stay efficient with the football.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Toronto has lost two games in a row going into Week 11.
- Edmonton snapped a three-game losing streak with their Week 10 win over Montreal.
- Edmonton is 4-4 straight up this season.
- Toronto is 3-6 against the spread going into this week.
- The Argonauts are 4-4-1 on over/unders so far this year.
- Edmonton is 5-3 to the under in their games this season.
Argonauts vs Elks Model Projection
Score Projection: Toronto Argonauts 24 – Edmonton Elks 26
Win Probability: Toronto Argonauts 55%, Edmonton Elks 45%
Final Thoughts
Trusting either of these teams to play four solid quarters of football in a row is a risky proposition. But I think that the Argos have the higher upside going into this matchup. Arbuckle should limit the turnovers for the second week in a row and the Argos should keep this game within a field goal no matter who ends up winning this battle of teams in the basements of their respective divisions.
