The Toronto Argonauts will host the Ottawa Redblacks in Week 10 of the Canadian Football League season on Saturday. These teams are tied at the bottom of the East standings with matching 2-6 records. The Argos won the first round of this matchup this season and will look for a second straight triumph over the Redblacks this weekend. Continue reading to get my breakdown of this CFL contest and to get my Redblacks vs Argonauts prediction.
Our Redblacks vs Argonauts Pick
- Pick: Redblacks +3.5
- Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Ottawa Redblacks at Toronto Argonauts
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 9, 2025, 3:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: BMO Field, Toronto, Ontario
- Broadcast: TSN
Redblacks vs Argonauts Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Argonauts -3.5 | OTT +154 / TOR -185 | 52.5 |
Key Storylines
Recent Form
Both teams currently sit at 2–6 in the East Division. They occupy the bottom two spots. Ottawa’s two wins this season have come against Calgary. One of Toronto’s victories came over Winnipeg and the other over the same Ottawa team they will face this week. Toronto is positioned just above Ottawa in our CFL power rankings but both squads remain inconsistent in execution this year. Ottawa comes off a bye and it will be interesting to see if that helps them in this game.
Quarterback Play
Dru Brown returned after a one-week injury absence for the Redblacks last week. He completed 19 of his 27 pass attempts and had 225 yards against the Calgary Stampeders. Toronto’s offense has leaned heavily on backup QB Nick Arbuckle. Last season’s Grey Cup MVP has been thrust back into the spotlight due to Chad Kelly’s absence due to injury. Arbuckle is second in the league in passing yards but also has the most interceptions in the league with nine.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Toronto won and covered the spread against the Redblacks in their first meeting of the season.
- Both teams are 2-6 straight up and 3-5 against the spread for the year.
- Ottawa has gone 3-5 on over/unders this season.
- Toronto is 3-4-1 in the over/under market.
- Toronto is 1-3 against the spread at home.
- Ottawa is 2-2 against the spread in their four road games.
Redblacks vs Argonauts Model Projection
Score Projection: Toronto 21 – Ottawa 20
Win Probability: Ottawa 50%, Toronto 50%
Final Thoughts
This feels like a must-win game for both of these teams. The loser of this contest will fall to 2-7 and will have sole possession of last place in the East. As far as who will win this game, I have a hard time differentiating these two teams. I think that Toronto could pull out a tight game in the end if Arbuckle can avoid turning the ball over as often as he has. But no matter who wins this game, I think it will be close, and I’ll take the points with the Redblacks.
