The Montreal Alouettes come into Friday night’s clash well-prepared after a dominant opening-week win, but don’t overlook the Ottawa Redblacks, who were competitive on the road in a Week 1 loss to the Saskatchewan Roughriders. In my Montreal Alouettes vs Ottawa Redblacks prediction, we break down key matchups and numbers to guide bettors toward a confident play for this matchup.
Our Montreal Alouettes vs Ottawa Redblacks Pick
- Montreal Alouettes -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Montreal Alouettes vs Ottawa Redblacks
- Date & Time: Friday, June 13, 2025 – 7:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa
- Broadcast: TSN / CFL+
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| MTL -1.5 | MTL -120, OTT +100 | 50 |
Key Storylines
Recent Form
- Montreal exploded in Week 1 with a 28–10 victory over Toronto, backed by an efficient game from QB Davis Alexander.
- Ottawa fell 26–31 to Saskatchewan last week in a close outing, but they got over 400 passing yards from QB Dru Brown in the loss.
Quarterback Play
- Davis Alexander has proven accurate (73.1 % completion, 205 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT), showcasing a calm, efficient game plan driving early success.
- Dru Brown looked excellent in Week 1 for the Redblacks and will look for another strong performance in his first home start of the 2025 season.
Anticipated Matchup Advantages
- Montreal’s offensive line should control the trench battles and protect Alexander.
- RB Sean Thomas-Erlington (86 yards) and QB Alexander (50 yards) give Montreal a dynamic ground presence, forcing Ottawa to defend multiple fronts.
- Ottawa’s defense struggled in Week 1 and will need to step up to prevent Alexander from breaking containment.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Line |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Thomas‑Erlington | Rushing Yards Over | 43.5 |
| Davis Alexander | Passing Yards Under | 278.5 |
| William Stanback | Anytime TD Scorer | +115 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Montreal is 1–0 straight up and against the spread this season.
- Ottawa is 0-1 straight up and against the spread this season.
- Last five H2H: Montreal leads 5-0 dating back to the 2023 season.
Montreal Alouettes vs Ottawa Redblacks Model Projection
- Score Projection: Montreal 30 – Ottawa 19
- Win Probability: Montreal 72%, Ottawa 28%
Final Thoughts
Montreal’s strong Week 1 performance was encouraging. Alexander and the ground attack should keep drives alive, while Ottawa’s defense remains a liability. While the Redblacks will put up a fight at home, the Alouettes should be able to pull away with a strong second half performance. Lock in Montreal -1.5 as a confident play.
