The undefeated Montreal Alouettes (2‑0) head to Edmonton to face the Elks (0‑1) on Thursday, June 19, at Commonwealth Stadium. Montreal comes off two commanding wins, showing balance on both sides of the ball, while Edmonton suffered a 31–14 loss to BC in Week 1 and has drawn concern for its porous defense. This contest pits Montreal’s sizzling offense (33.5 PPG) against Edmonton’s shaky defensive unit (31.0 PPG allowed). Here, I will break it all down and make my Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Elks prediction.
Our Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Elks Pick
- Pick: Montreal -6.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
- Sportsbook Bonus to Use: bet365 promo code – ATSBONUS – bet $5, get $150 in bonus bets!
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Elks
- Date & Time: Thursday, June 19, 2025, 9:00 PM EDT
- Venue: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton, AB
- Broadcast: TSN/CBSSN
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| MTL -6.5 | MTL ‑280 / EDM +230 | 48.5 |
Key Storylines
Recent form
- Montreal carries momentum with two dominant victories: 39–18 at Ottawa and 28–10 at home against Toronto. They’ve covered the spread in both outings and look sharp offensively (33.5 PPG) and defensively (14.0 PPG allowed).
- Edmonton is off to a rocky start, falling 31–14 on the road to BC, struggling to defend in the secondary.
Quarterback play
- Davis Alexander has completed 72.4% (42/58) of his passes for 549 yards, 2 TD, and 2 INT, a solid start to the season.
- Tre Ford of the Elks had just 178 passing yards in Week 1 and will need to be better this week to help his team get a win.
Anticipated matchup advantages
- Montreal’s offensive balance, strong through the air and on the ground, should keep Edmonton’s defense off‑balance.
- Montreal’s defense has allowed the fewest points per game in the league so far, while Edmonton’s passing game struggled in their opener.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Montreal is 2-0 both straight up and against the spread this season.
- Edmonton is 0-1 straight up and against the spread after their first game.
- Montreal has split their two games in the over/under market in 2025.
- Edmonton stayed under the total in their first game of the season.
Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Elks Model Projection
- Score Projection: Montreal 30 – Edmonton 20
- Win Probability: Montreal 68%, Edmonton 32%
Final Thoughts
Based on recent play and performance, Montreal enters this game as the stronger side in all three phases. Their offense is efficient and balanced, their defense is aggressive, and their consistent success in Edmonton reinforces their edge. Edmonton has home‑field advantage, but their Week 1 struggles suggest trouble. My pick is Montreal to win outright and cover in a 30‑20 result to move to 3-0 on the young CFL season.
