Eastern Division opponents looking for a second straight win will meet on Friday night, as the Hamilton Tiger-Cats face the Toronto Argonauts in CFL Week 5 action. Both clubs broke their early-season slumps with Week 4 wins. Hamilton’s aerial attack, led by veteran Bo Levi Mitchell, faces off against a red-hot Argos secondary capable of game‑changing big plays. Let’s break down this pick ’em game, as you can continue reading to get our Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Toronto Argonauts prediction.
Our Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Toronto Argonauts Pick
- Pick: Hamilton Tiger‑Cats moneyline (-110)
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
- Bonus Bets For the Game: bet365 bonus code – ATSBONUS – bet $5, get $150 in bonus bets win or lose!
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Hamilton Tiger‑Cats vs Toronto Argonauts
- Date & Time: Friday, July 4, 2025, 7:30 PM EDT
- Venue: BMO Field, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: TSN
| Odds | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto | -110 | 52.5 |
| Hamilton | -110 |
Key Storylines
Recent Form
- Hamilton snapped a 0‑2 start with a commanding 35‑17 win over Montreal. Bo Levi Mitchell went 25/31 for 247 yards and 2 TDs, while the Ti-Cats secondary intercepted McLeod Bethel-Thompson twice.
- Toronto got its first win of the year in Week 4, beating Ottawa 29‑16. The Toronto defense finally showed up in that game, holding Ottawa in check from start to finish, which they will look to do against Hamilton here as well.
Quarterback Play
- This game features the two leading passers in the CFL so far this season. Toronto’s Nick Arbuckle has the most passing yards in the league thus far, while Hamilton’s Bo Levi Mitchell is second in yards with one less game played. The better performer under center will likely determine this game’s outcome.
Key Matchups
- Hamilton’s passing offence (1st in passing yards/game) against Toronto’s secondary (3rd fewest pass yards allowed/game) will be a key battle.
- O‑line play: Hamilton allowed no sacks in Week 4, while Toronto got constant pressure against the Redblacks.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Toronto is 1-3 straight up and against the spread this season.
- Hamilton is 1-2 straight up and against the spread.
- Argos games have stayed under the total three times in four games.
- Ti-Cats games have gone over their totals in two out of three.
- Despite being 1-2 this season, Hamilton enters Week 5 in second place in the East.
Tiger-Cats vs Argonauts Model Projection
- Score Projection: Hamilton 27 – Toronto 24
- Win Probability: Hamilton 47%, Toronto 53%
Final Thoughts
To sum up, both teams come in off Week 4 wins and will battle tightly in every phase. Hamilton’s passing offense looks set to challenge Toronto’s secondary, while big defensive plays from Toronto could swing momentum. With this game being a pick ’em, I see there being value on Hamilton’s side. Expect a close game, with Hamilton edging out Toronto and Mitchell outperforming Arbuckle at quarterback to decide things.
