The Calgary Stampeders and Toronto Argonauts will do battle in Week 2 of the 2025 CFL season on Saturday, June 14. These teams had very different starts to their seasons, but we still expect a competitive showdown that helps set the tone for both teams moving forward. Here, I break down this game and give you my Calgary Stampeders vs Toronto Argonauts prediction.
Our Calgary Stampeders vs Toronto Argonauts Pick
- Pick: Toronto Argonauts -3
- Confidence: 4★
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Calgary Stampeders vs Toronto Argonauts
- Date & Time: Saturday, June 14, 2025 · 4:00 PM ET
- Venue: BMO Field, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: CFL+ / TSN
| Odds | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calgary | +3 (‑110) | +140 | O/U 50.5 (‑110) |
| Toronto | ‑3 (‑110) | ‑165 |
Key Storylines
Recent Form
Calgary enters with high spirits following a 38‑26 home victory over Hamilton in Week 1. They tallied 38 points, showcasing a potent offense. Toronto stumbled out of the gate, losing 28-10 on the road to Montreal, raising concerns about their execution despite being among the preseason Grey Cup favorites. The Argos must bounce back and reclaim their championship form.
Quarterback Play
Calgary’s QB room adjusted in the offseason, with Vernon Adams taking over under center. Adams had two interceptions and no touchdown passes, though the Stamps still had a huge game on the scoreboard despite his struggles. Toronto’s Nick Arbuckle struggled in his opener, as he fills in for Chad Kelly for the time being.
Anticipated Matchup Advantages
- Toronto pass rush: Their defensive front, though underwhelming last week, will benefit from home-field energy, critical in pressuring Calgary’s new QB.
- Calgary secondary: Gives up big plays on occasion, and Toronto could exploit that with deep shots and intermediate completions.
- Special teams impact: Calgary’s return units brought energy last week. If they replicate that, field position could tilt this one, but pure offensive firepower will be the focal point for them once again.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Line |
|---|---|---|
| Vernon Adams | Passing yards | Under 281.5 |
| Reggie Begelton | Receiving Yards | Over 67.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Calgary won and covered the spread in its first game of the season.
- Toronto is 0-1 both straight up and against the spread early in their 2025 campaign.
- Toronto has won two of the last three meetings between these teams, with these sides splitting their two matchups in 2024.
Calgary Stampeders vs Toronto Argonauts Model Projection
Score Projection: Calgary 24 – Toronto 28
Win Probability: Calgary 35%, Toronto 65%
Final Thoughts
Toronto is smarting from an uncharacteristic opener and will respond strongly in front of a home crowd. Calgary’s Week 1 performance commands respect, but Toronto’s defensive adjustments and home-field advantage give them the edge. Betting Toronto −3 offers solid value given their motivation and upside. Expect a bounce-back win and a satisfying cover for Argonauts backers.
